The
one aspect of present climate punditry that has been a skeleton in
the closet has been a decided inattention to the Arctic's historical
record as we have it before the advent of sat elites. This item is a
small step to remedy all that.
The
point is that warming in the Arctic appears to come in sustained
surges that last several years before reversion to the natural
average.
The
important question that remains unanswered is whether any of it
represents compelling trend lines outside the expected recovery from
the little ice age and even that may be just an excessive pulse that
took decades to recover from.
We
have identified the Antarctic maximum as a plausible pulse producing
source of cold water into the Atlantic basin which would naturally
accelerate the removal of warmer surface waters.
“You’ll Be
Amazed By What Was Observed” – Inconvenient Arctic Observations
Before Satellite Measurements
By P
Gosselin on 22. November 2012
Die kalte
Sonne website has another report about the Arctic. It presents a
chronology showing that really nothing unusual is happening today.
You’ll find it below translated in English.
US submarine “Skate” at the North Pole in August, 1958. ”Hey, where’s the ice!” US Navy photo. Source: Wikipedia.org/history.
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We’ve seen it once already – Arctic sea ice melting happened in the first half of the 20th century
By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
We’ve seen it once already – Arctic sea ice melting happened in the first half of the 20th century
By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt
When one hears or
reads the reports about the Arctic sea ice, it helps to remember
that satellite measurement did not begin until 1979. Thus we have
data only for a period of just over 30 years. This barely suffices to
fulfil the gladly used “climate definition” of a minimum period
of 30 years. So we can’t avoid having a suspicious feeling, as
we ask what did the sea ice do before satellite measurement began?
Can we just simply skip over this and simply add the notation that we
just don’t know much about it? Of course not. That would be too
easy. Before the days of satellite measurement, ships travelled in
the Arctic and brought back information about sea ice cover in the
region.
In the following
chronology, we present some of these reports. You’ll be amazed by
what was observed.
1907 The New York
Times reported on an Arctic heat wave. Source: Real
Science.
1922 The
Pittsburgh Press: “Extraordinary warmth in the Arctic during the
last few years. Polar ice sheet to melt down? “Source: Real
Science, The Mail.
1923 Fishermen,
seal hunters and explorers report on unusually high temperatures
around Spitzbergen and the East Arctic Ocean. The Daily News from
Perth speculated on whether the sea ice in the Arctic Ocean would
soon melt away as a result of a “radical climate
change”. Source: Real Science.
1935 Russian
vessel travelled over ice-free region that today was still
ice-covered just before the previous ice minimum in
2007. Source: Real Science.
Arctic temperatures in
the 1930s were warmer and the warming rate was higher than the rate
seen at the end of the 20th century. Source: The Hockeyschtick.
At the end of the
1930s, Soviet scientists noticed that for an extended time period it
even had been 6°C warmer than during the Nansens ice drift, and a
few degrees warmer than today.Source: Donner + Doria.
1940 According to
reports, Arctic sea ice in February 1940 was a mere 2 meters thick,
which was the same as the thickness of February 2012. Source: Real
Science,
1947 Geophysicist
Hans Ahlmann sets off the alarm: Climate change in the Arctic is so
dramatic that an international agency needs to be set up to address
it. Source:Real Science, the reference frame.
1958 During a
voyage in the summer of 1958, American submarine ”Skate“
emerged in open water nine times – and once at the North
Pole. Source: Donner + Doria.
========================================
Note: I translated
Lüning’s and Vahrenholt’s text rather than seeking out the
original quotes, and so there may be some slight deviations from the
original.
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