Thursday, December 3, 2020

Peak oil is upon us




Yes it is and not because we ever ran out of oil.  It jiust got more expensive and we found brilliant ways to recover more.  Truth be known we could continue doing this for decades longer..

The real problem is that the electric car came of age recently.  Batteries can do it and can also get much better.  That will mean muscle EVs, truck EVs and yes Highway truck EVs as well.  We can wait a decade for some of those but the oil industry industry can not.

Right now the non EV part of the new tech can drive market expansion because the baseline has been met.  Sooner or later our competators will be marketing EV ranges over a thousand miles and that makes all gas jobs completely obsolete.

Peak oil is upon us



November 30, 2020

https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2020-peak-oil-era-is-suddenly-upon-us/


A year ago, if anyone in the petroleum business had suggested that the moment of Peak Oil had already passed, they would have been laughed right off the drilling rig. Then 2020 happened.

Planes stopped flying. Office workers stayed home. “Zooming with the grandkids” replaced driving to see family. A year of global hunkering yielded the sharpest drop in oil consumption since Henry Ford cobbled together the first Model T. At its worst, global demand dropped by a staggering 29 million barrels a day.

As a once-in-a-century pandemic played out, British oil giant BP Plc in September made an extraordinary call: Humanity’s thirst for oil may never again return to prior levels. That would make 2019 the high-water mark in oil history.

BP wasn’t the only one sounding an alarm. While none of the prominent forecasters were quite as bearish, predictions for peak oil started popping up everywhere. Even OPEC, the unflappably bullish cartel of major oil exporters, suddenly acknowledged an end in sight—albeit still two decades away. Taken together these forecasts mark an emerging view that this year’s drop in oil demand isn’t just another crash-and-grow event as seen throughout history. Covid-19 has accelerated long-term trends that are transforming where our energy comes from. Some of those changes will be permanent.

It’s often difficult to recognize civilization-sized shifts in behavior until after they’ve occurred. Until the pandemic none of the major oil forecasters had seen an imminent demand peak. The debate won’t end now, especially with signs that the pandemic will ease in 2021. But if we look back from here and see the oil peak clearly in the past, what follows will be the evidence of how the energy future snuck up on us.
The peak no one saw coming

Energy analysts usually present multiple scenarios. The gap between each forecast comes down to differing assumptions about government policies, economic conditions and consumer preferences for things such as new electric cars and solar panels. A business-as-usual scenario assumes little impact from policy shifts or new technology.

Most analysts had only predicted declining demand for oil in improbably green scenarios that could only be achieved with far stronger global climate policies. What made BP’s 2020 forecast unique is that peak oil now snuck into its business-as-usual baseline. If technologies and pollution rules improve, the dropoff in demand would be even more swift.
Sneak Oil Peak
BP presents three scenarios for oil demand. Each one is already on the downslope



200EJ


2019 peak


Business-as-usual


IEA 2020

forecast


150


Rapid


100


Net Zero


2010


2040

Note: Oil demand is shown in exajoules of energy, a unit of measure adopted by BP for analyzing energy demand.


The prospect of a 2019 peak went largely overlooked when BP released its highly regarded Energy Outlook in September. Pinpointing it was made more difficult by the fact that the company hadn’t yet included the latest real-world energy data from 2019.

The chart above updates the outlook with BP’s own oil figures for last year. It also presents estimates using BP’s calculations in exajoules—a more precise measure of energy consumption than a barrels-per-day figure. Without those changes, BP’s scenario suggested oil demand might plateau for the next decade before declining once and for all. BP didn’t respond to requests for comment.

A shakeup in oil accounting

Like any forecast, only time will tell if peak oil demand happened already or won’t come until 2040. That inescapable uncertainty is less important than the newfound agreement that a turning point is here.

The list of energy analysts who now foresee a peak in oil demand keeps growing. It includes Norway’s state-owned oil company Equinor (peaking around 2027-28), Norwegian energy researcher Rystad Energy (2028), French oil major Total SA (2030), consulting firm McKinsey (2033), clean-energy research group BloombergNEF (2035), and energy-industry advisors Wood Mackenzie (2035). The exporting nations of OPEC put the peak in 2040 while acknowledging that its new forecast might still prove too optimistic for oil.

Notable exceptions include the International Energy Agency, which sees demand “plateauing” but not quite peaking, and the U.S. Energy Information Agency. Both of these agencies advise governments on policy.
Revising Down
Forecasters see a different future for oil demand after 2020

2019 outlook 
2020 outlook


Rystad


BloombergNEF


115M


115M barrels/day


2035


95


95


2028

peak


75


75


2000


2045


2000


2045


Wood Mackenzie


OPEC


115M


115M


2040


2035


95


95


75


75


2000


2040


2000


2045
Note: No 2019 forecast available for BloombergNEF.
Sources: Rystad Energy, Wood Mackenzie, BloombergNEF, OPEC

Fatih Birol, who leads the IEA, said oil demand can only come down with stronger government policies promoting electric cars and regulating petrochemicals. Even though a peak isn’t guaranteed, he told Bloomberg, “the value of oil is going down” and oil-dependent economies “have to prepare themselves before it’s too late.”
The year that lasts a generation

Oil prices rose this November, boosted by positive data from coronavirus vaccine trials and recovering demand in Asia. The sooner an effective vaccine can be deployed, the sooner the world can return to some picture of normalcy. But what will that look like?

“We’re not going back to the same economy,” U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell cautioned in mid-November. “We’re recovering, but to a different economy.” That new economy means people will continue working more from home, traveling less, and staying in to binge on digital programming. About two thirds of Covid’s impact on oil demand will be from setbacks to the global economy, according to BP’s estimates, and one third will be from permanent changes in behavior.

The Pandemic’s Blow to Oil Isn’t Going Away

BP predicts that a hobbled economy and changing behaviors will ripple out for decades to come




Impact of Covid-19 on oil demand


Impact if it isn't brought under control


–3.4%

2025


-4.5%

2050


–4.8%

2025


-11.0%

2050
Note: Impacts are measured against BP’s “Rapid” scenario for oil demand.
Source: BP Energy Outlook 2020

The gap between BP’s predictions for declining demand and the more bullish forecasts of OPEC and IEA can’t be explained by economic outlooks or remote work. Instead, it comes down to different readings of another shift clearly visible this year: drivers switching to battery-powered cars and trucks. Transportation slurps up more than half of the world’s crude, and three quarters of that goes specifically to wheels on the road. Forecasts for electric vehicles end up shaping the outlook for oil.

Electric cars didn’t brake for Covid

For the first nine months of 2020, car sales cratered. Every major automaker was affected—with the notable exception of Tesla. The electric automaker sold more cars than ever before. Even as the rest of the economy stood frozen, Tesla posted its longest stretch of profitable quarters and ended the year with inclusion in the S&P 500 stock index.

A closer look at the data shows it wasn’t just a Tesla story. Electric vehicles in general managed to thrive even as sales of traditional cars broke down. Both Volkswagen and Daimler saw record-setting declines in total sales, even while sales at their EV divisions doubled.
Electric Vehicles Defy the Covid Slump

EV sales grew in 2020, while the rest of the industry crumbled



Total auto sales


EV sales only


–50%


0


–50%


0


+50%


+100%


PSA Group


+1,284%


Fiat Chrysler


Ford


R-N-M Alliance


SAIC


Toyota


Volkswagen


Daimler


General Motors


Hyundai–Kia


BMW


Tesla

Note: Sales volumes compare the first three quarters of 2020 with same period in 2019. R-N-M refers to the Renault-Nissan-Mitsubishi Motors alliance.

Sources: Bloomberg Intelligence, BloomergNEF, Company filings

For backers of electric cars, 2020 was a gut check. It could have been disastrous. Some of the most important EV models to date were launched smack in the middle of the pandemic, including Tesla’s Model Y sport utility vehicle in February and VW’s ID.3 hatchback in September. If consumers rejected them, it could have set back EV investment by years. They did not.

At a time when the world turned upside down, sales of electric cars defied gravity.
No comeback for fossil-fuel cars

During the lockdowns of 2020, city skies cleared of pollution. Bike sales took off. Ethanol intended to be used as a gasoline additive instead made it into hand sanitizer. In many places the faltering economy wasn’t a reason to eliminate environmental regulations—it became a moment to double down.

The divided fortunes of internal combustion engines (ICE) and electric drivetrains was first noticed in 2018, a year when EVs bucked the trend of slowing auto sales. Some analysts started to wonder if fossil-fuel vehicles might never return to sales levels of 2017. Back then the idea of Peak ICE was just a theory. The pandemic made it real.
The Internal Combustion Engine Is History
The pandemic made it clear: Gasoline cars have peaked

Internal combustion engine 
Plug-in hybrid 
Fuel cell 
Electric vehicle



100M


50


0


2015


2020


2040
Note: Global passenger vehicle sales.
Source: BloombergNEF New Energy Outlook 2020

For peak oil to stick, it will require gradually supplanting more than one billion vehicles in the world. It also means batteries will have to prove themselves in challenging new markets such as freight trucks, which account for more than 15% of oil use, and gas-guzzling pickup trucks, which in 2020 surpassed car sales in the U.S. for the first time.
Batteries for everything on the road

Automakers are working on 35 new all-electric vehicles to be released next year, according to a tally by BNEF. In 2020, Tesla broke ground on a factory in Austin, Texas, to build pickup trucks and big rigs. Well-funded EV startups Rivian and Lucid Motors put the finishing touches on their make-or-break vehicles. Volkswagen sold the first cars on its new modular platform underpinning dozens of future electric models. Chinese automakers prepared for debuts in new Western markets: BYD’s Tang EV600, Geely’s Polestar 2, Xpeng’s P7.

Here are some of the most hotly anticipated models getting ready to hit the streets in 2021.


VW ID.4
Cost: Starts at $40K
Range: 250 mi

Ford Mustang Mach-E
Cost: $43K-$61K
Range: 211–300 mi

Lucid Air
Cost: $77K–$169K
Range: Est. 406–517 mi

Tesla Cybertruck
Cost: $40K–$70K
Range: Est. 250-500+ mi

Rivian R1T
Cost: $68K-$75K
Range: Est. 300+ mi

GM Hummer
Cost: $80K–$113K
Range: 250–350 mi

Rivian Cargo Van
Cost:
Range: Est. 150 mi
Orders from Amazon: 100K by 2030

Daimler Freightliner eCascadia
Cost:
Range: Est. 250 mi

Tesla Semi
Cost: $150K-$180K
Range: 500-600 mi

Photographs by (from top-left to bottom-right): Krisztian Bocsi (Bloomberg), David McNew (Getty Images), David Paul Morris (Bloomberg), Frederic J. Brown (AFP/Getty Images), Michael Brochstein (SOPA Images/LightRocket/Getty Images), GMC, Amazon, Peter Steffen (DPA/AFP/Getty Images), Veronique Dupont (AFP/Getty Images)
Battery cars achieved a price-parity milestone

Batteries are a technology, not a fuel, which means the more that are produced, the cheaper they are to make. In fact, every time the global supply of batteries doubles, the cost drops by about 18%, according to data tracked by BNEF. Historically, EVs have been more expensive to build than gasoline cars. That’s changing.

The past year saw the first companies reaching the Holy Grail in battery packs: a cost of $100 per kilowatt hour. That’s the point that analysts have long believed will bring the cost of building electric cars in line with similar gasoline-fueled vehicles. After that, EVs will only get cheaper.

Volkswagen, the biggest automaker by cars sold, confirmed that its batteries had reached the $100 threshold for its 2020 ID.3 sedan and upcoming ID.4 compact SUV. China’s CATL, the world’s biggest battery supplier, also claimed $100 battery nirvana as it struck deals across the auto industry.

Not to be outdone, Tesla hosted an elaborate “battery day” event in September. The audience watched from a parking lot full of Teslas as CEO Elon Musk showed off plans to manufacture battery cells, a first for any automaker, and to reduce battery costs 56% by 2023. Even if Musk’s estimates are a few years too optimistic—as they sometimes are—it would still put Tesla years ahead of mainstream industry forecasts.

Achievement Unlocked: A Magic Number for Batteries

In 2020, some batteries were built for $100 per kWh, paving the way for EVs to become the cheapest option



$1,183

Industry

average

2010


$100/kWh


$190

Tesla

2016


$100

Tesla, CATL,

Volkswagen

2020


$93

Industry

average

2024


$58

Tesla

2023


$61

Industry

average

2030
Note: Tesla prices come from a 2016 disclosure and Musk’s forecasts for 2020 costs and for a 56% drop from industry average by 2023.
Sources: BloombergNEF, company statements

Mass-market EVs became possible only with the falling price of batteries. What comes next could be a virtuous cycle of cost declines. As battery prices improve, customers will snap up more electric cars, making battery prices even cheaper.
Europe’s electric push

Europe has taken back the electric-vehicle crown from China. This year, tough new EU fuel-efficiency regulations kicked in just before the virus did. Consumers responded. In oil-rich Norway, more than 70% of new cars sold in 2020 came with a plug. EV market share across Europe soared to 11% of all new cars in the third quarter, nearly doubling the adoption rate in China.
Europe Retakes the EV Lead
Two views: Market share of electric cars versus total quarterly sales

Europe 
China


More than 1 in 10 cars sold in Europe

had a plug in Q3


For the first time in three years, Europe

sold more EVs than China


11%


371K


327K


6%


2016 Q1


2020 Q3


2016 Q1


2020 Q3
Sources: BloombergNEF, EV Volumes

Under Europe’s new fuel-efficiency rules, companies that fail to reduce their emissions must pay steep fines or else pay a company with cleaner cars to pool emissions and avoid the fees. That option has been a boon for Tesla, creating a revenue stream big enough to pay for its first European factory. Tesla broke ground in Berlin during the pandemic and will start producing cars there next year.

In China, meanwhile, the pandemic provided an unexpected boost for EVs. As part of a pandemic stimulus, EV subsidies that were set to expire in April were extended through 2022. Then in September, the country shocked the world with a pledge to eliminate the net carbon dioxide emissions of the world’s most polluting economy by 2060. Japan and South Korea followed, vowing net-zero emissions by 2050.

The last geopolitical piece to fall into place in 2020 was the U.S., which is responsible for burning one out of every five barrels of oil in the world. President Trump had pulled the U.S. from the Paris Climate Accord, slashed vehicle efficiency standards, and allowed clean-energy subsidies to expire. Then he lost the election.

One of President-elect Joe Biden’s first moves afterwards was to name former Secretary of State John Kerry as special envoy for climate, a new cabinet-level position. Kerry, an architect of the Paris pact, vowed to rejoin it on the new administration’s first day. A push to set a 2050 end-date for U.S. emissions and a drive to clean up the U.S. electrical grid are likely to follow.

Now the three biggest global powers—the U.S., China, and Europe—are poised to push again on policies that accelerate the transition from oil. Together, the three are responsible for burning more than half of all the world’s crude.


Shifting winds of politics aren’t included in most energy forecasts, says Nat Bullard of BloombergNEF. The geopolitical backdrop gives further credence to the idea that oil demand will plateau and decline, rather than breach new highs. “This moment we’re in has accelerated a lot of change and, amazingly, kept a lot of climate-change policy on the books that could have easily been reneged on,” Bullard says.
California sets a road block for gas cars

There are policy tools available for weaning the world from oil-burning vehicles. One is to simply ban them. Dozens of cities, states, countries and regions have set such targets to phase out new sales of gasoline cars. This year California joined the bunch, setting a phaseout goal of 2035. If California were a country, it would rank above Russia among the top 10 car markets in the world.

The U.K. likewise moved its goal to 2035, up from 2040 previously. Prime Minister Boris Johnson also required that any new car sold after 2030 must at least have a hybrid drivetrain capable of running on a battery.

The Big Ban Theory

California joined 12 countries setting an end date for new fossil-fuel vehicles, and the U.K. moved its target forward from 2040



Slovenia


Netherlands


Iceland


Denmark


Canada


U.K.


Scotland


Norway


France


California


Ireland


Israel


Sweden


2M vehicles

sold in 2018


2025


2030


2035


2040
Note: Countries and states are sized by vehicle sales in 2018. Scotland is covered by the U.K. ban but has set a more aggressive timeline for itself.
Sources: BloombergNEF, IHS Markit, CNCDA

Most of these bans aren’t codified into laws—at least not with repercussions for cheaters. Instead, policymakers use them to support ambitious policies along the way that are necessary for hitting the target. California has successfully used similar long-term targets to shape its renewable-energy policies, making it one of at least a dozen U.S. states that have policies to eventually mandate entirely green electricity grids.
21st century power transitions

At a London hotel in February, BP’s new chief executive, Bernard Looney, delivered his first speech from a podium bedazzled with a green “Reimagine BP” logo. He described one of the industry’s most far-reaching plans to cut net emissions to zero in 30 years. Two months later, Royal Dutch Shell said that it, too, would zero out emissions by 2050. In May came Total SA, France’s biggest oil producer. Spain’s Repsol and Italy’s Eni had made their own pledges back in 2019.

While key details varied—and were sometimes conspicuously lacking— “net zero emissions” became a sort of demarcation line drawn through the oil industry. Lined up against the old guard are the oil companies that no longer want to be known as oil companies.

It’s difficult to tell which came first for the transitioners. Did a changing outlook for long-term demand result in an overhaul in business strategies? Or were the forecasts for peak oil meant to justify a new business strategy born of public pressure? Perhaps a bit of both—and for the end result, it may not matter.

For investors, one thing is clear: the oil patch has lost its shimmer. Exxon, which was the most valuable company in the world as recently as 2013, was removed from the Dow Jones Industrial Average index this year. It’s now vying to remain above the market value of NextEra Energy Inc., a Florida-based mega-utility focused on wind and solar, which briefly overtook it in October.

Tesla’s stock this year has been on a record-breaking tear, surpassing the value of the next five automakers combined. Stock markets reward growth. Just look at Amazon’s sky-high stock price back when online retail was still a novelty or Netflix’s valuation when cable-TV still dominated. When it comes to the future of oil demand, the market is speaking very clearly.
21st Century Power Transitions


Tesla’s stock value tops the next five

automakers—combined


NextEra overtook Exxon for the

first time in October


$300B


$500B


250


150


0


0


Jan. 1


Nov. 25


Jan. 1


Nov. 25
Note: Top five automakers after Tesla are Volkswagen, Toyota, Daimler, General Motors and BMW.
Source: Bloomberg

The term “peak oil” didn’t always refer to demand. It started with the premise that the world’s supply of crude was finite. Eventually no matter how hard drillers tried, they wouldn’t be able to pull more oil out of the ground. A transportation crisis would ensue.

The peak oil hypothesis dominated economic thinking for decades. But it turned out that with fracking, deep-water drilling, and oil sands, there’s a lot more oil than we once thought. More recently, the idea of a demand-driven peak took hold. Petrostates fear it, environmentalists pray for it.
‘The writing is all over the bloody wall’

The reason so much attention is given to peak oil is that it can be a turning point from a market where oil is scarce to one where there’s more cheap crude than people know what to do with. The risk of investing in new oil supplies increases. Investors pull back. Political power wanes.

In many ways, Big Oil already began transitioning to an era of excess supply during the oil crash of 2014 to 2016. In the years preceding that crisis, oil prices averaged roughly $110 per barrel and most forecasts imagined similar prices for decades to come. Then came a glut of unexpected supply, driving prices down to less than $40. The value of oil assets was written down by more than $500 billion, according to data collected by research firm Evaluate Energy. The outlook never recovered.

In the first half of 2020, when oil demand suddenly vanished in the pandemic, the industry wrote down a fresh $170 billion. For U.S. companies, it was the equivalent of 18% of proven reserves. That’s money wiped from the books because companies no longer believed in the value of their oil deposits.

The 2020 write-downs are exceeded only by the second half of 2015, the peak of the last crisis. And there’s more to come. Exxon on Monday logged record charges of as much as $20 billion.

For the five Western supermajors, the 2020 write-downs have already exceeded the last crisis, by far.

If oil companies were only focused on a short-term pandemic crash, BNEF oil analyst David Doherty believes the response would not have been so severe. These charges are more about faltering confidence in long-term demand—peak oil. “The writing is all over the bloody wall,” Doherty says.
The Future of Oil Gets a Write–Down
More than $170B wiped from company balance sheets–with more to come



2014


2019


0


125


First–half

2020


$200B
Note: Data includes public disclosures from more than 400 oil and gas companies.

Most oil forecasts—at least the business-as-usual scenarios—estimate that even if oil demand peaks, it will continue to play a defining role in energy markets for the foreseeable future. Markets for petrochemicals will continue to grow, and both aviation and shipping will be relatively untouched.

Don’t be so sure. The same market pressures being applied to road transport and moving into other industries. Alternatives to petrochemicals are under development. Small electric planes and hybrid aircraft for longer distance are moving out of the prototype stage. It’s only a matter of time before tanker ships start running on hydrogen.


Once a technology reaches scale and price parity, conditions can change dramatically. That happened with coal, which was expected to dominate for decades—until cheaper natural gas and renewable energy came along. U.S. coal demand peaked in 2008. Nine years later Peabody Energy, the world’s largest coal producer, was bankrupt.
Sunshine is the new oil

For the last century, transport fuels and electricity generation have been almost entirely separate industries. Oil was for vehicles, coal was for power. Drillers versus miners, petrostates versus power utilities. There was very little crossover. For years, the oil industry has watched what was happening to coal and insisted it wouldn’t happen to them.

Back in 2015, ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance told Bloomberg it would take another 50 years for electric cars to have a material impact on oil demand—probably not in his lifetime. That was the widely held view just five years ago. Few in the oil industry would make that case today.

With the electrification of transport, the distinction between liquid fuels and power markets is blurring. Solar power is now the cheapest form of new energy capacity in most of the world, which means that as power markets grow to meet the new demand from EVs, oil is being largely displaced by power from the sun.

Forecasting energy transitions is painstaking work. For almost two decades, the International Energy Agency’s base scenario has consistently underestimated the rise of solar power. Every year, the models expected the rate of growth to level off, for the industry of solar installers to stop hiring. Every year it did the opposite. This record shows the hazards of basing decisions about the future on today’s policies and technologies, especially when history shows that neither stands still.

The IEA changed its view on solar this year. In the introduction to its 2020 World Energy Outlook, the IEA’s Birol dubbed solar “the new king of electricity.” He wrote that “based on today’s policy settings, it is on track to set new records for deployment every year after 2022.”
Solar: ‘King of Electricity’
Every year they said solar would plateau, and every year it set new records


IEA’s outlook for new installations was

overhauled in October


250GW


2020


2019


125


2018


2017


Actual


2016


2014


2010–12


2002–8


0


2001


2020


2040
Sources: International Energy Agency, BloombergNEF, Auke Hoekstra

When discussing their forecasts, energy analysts take great pains to point out that they are not making predictions of what will happen but rather presenting different scenarios about what could happen. As Birol frequently points out, the timing of peak oil depends entirely on what the world does next.


Terrifying Cryptid Creature Encountered Along The Au Sable River in Michigan



It is our friend the Giant Sloth  aka Dogman ake Werewolf.  excellent eyeball event in which he fully experiences the animals gait.  Not a bigfoot not a bear and not a wolf.  Can we make this any clearer.


Quite rightly he was scared to death in the same way a trapped antlope feels in company of a lion.  


Men have been taken, but normally by ambush.  This creature has an easy enough living without steering up a war.  Still an impossible night for hte observer.



Terrifying Cryptid Creature Encountered Along The Au Sable River in Michigan

Tuesday, December 01, 2020

An experienced hiker, while trekking along the Au Sable River in Michigan, encounters the scariest creature he has ever seen.

I recently received the following account:

"I was hiking along the Au Sable River in Michigan during the summer of 1999. This is in the counties of Oscoda, Alcona and Iosco. I remember one of my most scariest encounters with the wilderness.

While walking east down along the river around 1 hr. prior to dusk I heard, what to my ears to be, a wolf howl. I have seen wolf prints and seen wolves at my home in Long Lake, MI., but never have I heard a howl so deep and almost human-like in my life. I got spooked and set up camp and made a fire...larger than most due to my fear.


At dusk I heard that the howling was getting closer, directly across the river. I had heard stories of the wolfman from native powwows and in my family folklore covering the whole USA. But never have I personally seen what I saw that night or the next day.


That night, after eating beef barley stew from my canned good collection, I laid down by the fire with my huge folding knife closely gripped by my chest. I was watching and listening to the surrounding wood line for about 30 minutes. When the average night noises stopped, to this me meant two things. Either something had spooked the local animals, and that it made me very uneasy.


I looked out away from the fire and shot the fire away from my eyes using the unarmed hand. I looked across the river which was only about 100 meters across from my fire. That is when I saw the most unnerving sight ever. On the sand was a creature standing maybe larger than the average sow black bear, with black fur, large long skull and yellow reflecting eyes like the wolf. I closed my eyes and hoped I was imagining things and then it gave out the howl again. I opened my eyes and it ran up the bank and disappeared into the night. As it ran, it didn't run on all fours like a bear nor a wolf. Unlike the local bigfoot it wasn't full upright like a human or primate.

I was so scared that I slept the rest of that night in a damn tree about 20 foot off the ground. it took me 3 hours and praying to easy my fear so I could sleep." HN

David Eckhart Successfully Captures Image of Manifesting Portal





Why this is important is that the observer has been interacting for over fifteen years and has had assisrtence from others in setting up tools.  so this is literally as good as it can get in terms of potential imaging.

A small portal is clearly seen and imaged.  It satisfies expectations.

No one can complain about the quality of this image..

David Eckhart Successfully Captures Image of Manifesting Portal (Photo)

Tuesday, December 01, 2020

Experiencer David Eckhart recently released a remarkable image of a portal manifesting in his home. Over the years, David has been able to capture images of various non-terrestrial beings and other unexplained phenomena.




David Eckhart and his family began to endure numerous abductions and close encounters in their home near Pensacola, Florida nearly 15 years ago. The encounters have continued, though the activity has recently picked up in intensity. David's ordeal has been thoroughly documented because of his determination to discover why he was chosen. I have assisted David in his journey since 2010. His story is documented in my book Alien Disclosure: Experiencer Expose Reality. He is also a member of Phantoms & Monsters Fortean Research. Lon

Obama, Biden, CIA Director Gina Haspel Evidently Arrested for Espionage, Voter Fraud





All this remains under the radar, but that is only because there are secrecy orders out  there.  The arrest job  by itself is huge and many of the targets may still have the ability to make things vdifficult.

The point is that the massive election fraud event is been publicly disclosed and this allows a huge number to be arested as part of that investigation or sting operation.

The big story is the massive treason involving the CCP.  No one walks away from that and it does mean the firing squad for many famous faces.

With that landing around everyone's ears, further games become impossible unless you wish to volunteer yourself as a known co - conspirator.  The DEEP STATE is about to learn what been freindless is like.





Obama, Biden, CIA Director Gina Haspel Evidently Arrested for Espionage, Voter Fraud


Tuesday, December 1, 2020 19:18


https://beforeitsnews.com/politics/2020/12/obama-biden-cia-director-gina-haspel-evidently-arrested-for-espionage-voter-fraud-3219687.html



Evidently Barak Obama has been arrested in Hawaii and charged with Espionage according to an announcement by Assistant Attorney General for National Security, John C. Demers on Saturday 28 Nov.

That same day Obama’s former VP Joe Biden began wearing a boot that could hide an ankle bracelet, although he claimed the boot was due to an ankle injury. Two weeks ago CIA Director Gina Haspel was captured and detained on charges of Election Fraud – and said to be spilling the beans on Obama and Biden.

Obama, Biden and Haspel were suspected of colluding with foreign powers including the Chinese Communist Party, plus promoting the use of Election Fraud, to put the socialist leaning and compromised Biden/ Harris ticket in power, overtake the US government and establish a New World Order.

Obama’s complaint alleged that the former US President compromised US security by conspiring with a business partner and former CIA agent to give US government classified information to high up Chinese intelligence officials in the People’s Republic of China (PRC).

Biden was reported to be under house arrest for compromising US security by conspiring with a foreign power to interfere with a US Election. Although, Biden was quite upfront about his Voter Fraud on national TV, saying right before the election that he had “compiled the most extensive Voter Fraud organization in the history of politics.” https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGRnhBmHYN0

Biden’s son Hunter’s laptop was said to contain evidence that Biden was compromised, having accepted millions of dollars from China, the Ukraine and other countries during his years in public office, including his eight years of serving as Vice President of the US.

A Sun. 22 Nov. report showed Joe Biden stole $140 million from US Treasury and transferred it to his personal account in the Cayman Islands:

Months before the Election, the Ukraine had issued a warrant on Biden for his dealings there – news which like everything else connected to the Democrat Cabal, never made it to the Left Wing Mass Media headlines.

Haspel’s, Obama’s and Biden’s alleged arrests were said connected to an extensive investigation of massive Voter Fraud issues centering around Dominion Company servers and the 2020 Presidential Election that Biden claimed to have won.

Haspel, evidently in Frankfurt to protect server data that would incriminate Deep State leaders such as Obama and Biden, was said to be cooperating to lessen her own sentence and revealing information about an extensive Voter Fraud scam perpetrated by Democrats in the 2020 Election.

The Military raid captured Dominion Voting servers, which were found to have swung votes from Trump to Biden from their locations in Germany, Canada and Spain. Simultaneous raids took place in Toronto (Dominion Voting System headquarters) and Barcelona Spain (another CIA Scytl server farm used in the election vote switching fraud).

Although you would never hear about it in today’s Mass Media, the connections were obviously there. George Soros was head of the Board of Directors for Dominion. Since the Nov. 3 election, a boatload of evidence has come forth around George Soros-owned, CIA-developed Dominion Voting Machines that tabulated the US Election results. The tabulation was done on easily compromised servers in Germany, Canada and Spain which were hooked up to the Internet. The Dominion programs were said to be designed to throw millions of Trump votes to Biden.

In 2002-2004 a Hammer Supercomputer Scorecard app vote switching algorithm software on Dominion machines was borrowed from the CIA to be used in Venezuelan-developed Smartmatic vote switching software by dictator Hugo Chavez and Venezuelan military officers in order to rig elections.

On Sat. morning 28 Nov. Obama’s Criminal Complaint was unsealed by Demers, U.S. Attorney for the District of Hawaii Kenji M. Price, Assistant Director of the FBI’s Counterintelligence Division Alan E. Kohler Jr., and Special Agent in Charge of the FBI’s Honolulu Field Office Eli S. Miranda.

judge has imposed a “media blackout” in the US on news about the arrest, but Canadian outlets like Conservative Beaver and a couple of Spanish speaking newspapers were not subject to those rules and have reported on the high profile arrest.

Under direction of General Michael Flynn Mass Arrests were continuing on over 209,000 sealed indictments filed in federal courts across the nation since President Trump took office. On Wed. 25 Nov. Flynn began executing high level arrests overseas and was presently after pedophiles in the Netherlands – the New World Order and Council of Foreign Relations headquarters – where recently, a lot of planes have mysteriously crashed. Henry Kissinger and others have been ousted from the Council of Foreign Relations.

Military rendition flights were all over the US. It was said that hundreds of treasonous actors were being extracted, put onto flights and interrogated until they turned, with an emphasis on finding evidence of voter fraud. These Military flights were increasing in preparation for potential Antifa violence and RV release security.

For years Democratic Party and some Republican political elites apparently have been working in cooperation with the Chinese and other Communist Parties to overthrow the US government and set up a New World Order. Trump and the White Hats of the Alliance set up the 2020 Presidential Election as a Sting to catch these bad guys in treason – with intelligence gathered by “The Kraken.”

The Kraken was the nickname of the 305th Battalion Military Intelligence corps located at Fort Huachuca, AZ. It provided electronic warfare and signals intelligence (SIGINT). The 305th consisting of six companies, HHC, Alpha, Bravo, Charlie, Delta and Echo.

On Wed. morning 4 Nov. right after the Election, the Department of Defense, 305th Battalion and NSA began recording real time fraud evidence of vote switching from all six Battleground states (GA, PA, MI, WI, AZ, NV) in a blockchain tech ledger that was un-hackable and undelete-able. This real time digital evidence would now be used to prosecute all Deep Staters involved in Election and Voter Fraud – including Obama, Biden and Haspel.

Page 9 of Sydney Powell’s Federal Lawsuits filed in Georgia and Michigan midnight Wed. 25 Nov. 2020: “The Dominion software was accessed by agents acting on behalf of China and Iran in order to monitor and manipulate elections, including the most recent US general election in 2020.”

On Tues. 1 Nov. Lt. General McInerney Tweeted: “It is TREASON. They are trying to overturn this government.”