Tuesday, September 25, 2012
Obama's Naivety on Foreign Policy
This item tosses a reality check on the underling failure of Obama’s obviously naïve approach to foreign policy some four years ago and only served to prove its naivety. He has also made some mistakes and some serious omissions. However, that is hardly a unique failing with presidents.
certainly fumbled the Osama file and Bush slept a full year on it before it
blew up in his face.
Whoever wins in November will be realistic about what can be accomplished and to be fair, the hand looks pretty decent today although little of that improvement belongs to Obama at all. Sometimes neglect is a fine policy as it allows a number of players to resolve their own issues.
Egypt is on the way to been properly governed
and this will reinforce general stability in North Africa
and bring major change there. Present
fears will prove to be transient.
Whatever the outcome in
it will be hugely weakened and this is a collapse of Iranian influence however
At the same time all the Islamist radicals in Southern Lebanon,
Gaza, and Palestine who are all
self governing are simply getting older and are not keen to turn over the reins
to younger hot heads. They can also
count and can see their best and brightest leaving Dodge while Israel itself
is booming in population and economic strength.
Just how long can you rationalize sleeping in a gutter outside a palace
for the sake of a difference of opinion?
Today, they have no allies in fact besides Iran
who has had its hands cut off in Syria.
Other problems have similarly evaporated and that includes
and now prospectively North
The best that the
USA may be able
to achieve is to be encouraging and that may be good enough. Remember that the weight of history is on the
side of the West and it is now overwhelming and happening rapidly. All the turmoil is merely governments and
cultures coming to grips with this and discovering how to adjust. Remember Japan
and Germany. No one wishes to emulate their glowing
example by getting forced to do the right thing at gun point. And yes, today the USA is
now a small part of the modern world even if everyone else is quite happy to
stick them with the bill for preserving perpetual military superiority.
Obama failed to convince Muslims that
’s not their enemy America
Sep 22, 2012
All the way back in 2009, the newly inaugurated president Obama granted his very first TV interview to the al-Arabiya network.
Speaking to veteran journalist Hisham Melhem, the new president said: “My job to the Muslim world is to communicate that the Americans are not your enemy.” As anti-American riots burn from
to Islamabad, that hope looks distinctly “ Mission Unaccomplished.”
In the immediate aftermath of the killing of the
U.S. ambassador to Libya,
the Obama administration insisted that the Sept. 11, 2012 attacks on the U.S. embassy in Cairo
and the U.S. consulate in were spontaneous
responses to a YouTube video clip mocking the Prophet Muhammad. That claim,
never very plausible, has by now nearly completely unraveled. ( Benghazi ’s report Friday in
the Daily Beast for the latest debunking.) See Eli
The attacks look elaborately planned and timed for the 9/11 anniversary. The raising of the black al-Qaeda flag over the walls of the Cairo embassy was a challenge and a defiance — and a brutal repudiation of the hopes expressed in Obama’s own speech in Cairo, delivered three summers ago:
“I have come here to seek a new beginning between the
United States and Muslims around the world; one
based upon mutual interest and mutual respect; and one based upon the truth
and Islam are not exclusive, and need not be in competition.” America
That new beginning has not arrived. President Obama can claim important national security successes: the killing of Osama bin Laden and much of what remained of the al-Qaeda leadership in
. But the level of
anti-American grievance Obama observed and deplored in 2008-2009 has not
abated. If anything, the situation in important Muslim-majority countries like Pakistan Pakistan and seems even more dangerous
today than when Barack Obama took office. This is not to blame Obama for
making things worse. It is to recall to mind the unrealism of his promise to
make things better. Egypt
That promise was based on a series of assumptions that have one by one been falsified:
That the Palestinian issue was the driving cause of Muslim anti-Americanism — and that he could resolve Palestinian grievances by pressing Israel to make concessions; that the anger was somehow caused by President Bush and that it could be alleviated by reversing Bush policies; and — finally — that his own personality and name could somehow reassure Muslims in and of itself.
[ Appeasement by any other name always succeeds only in encouraging a dedicated enemy - arclein]
“I am a Christian, but my father came from a Kenyan family that includes generations of Muslims. As a boy, I spent several years in
heard the call of the azaan at the break of dawn and the fall of dusk. As a
young man, I worked in Indonesia
communities where many found dignity and peace in their Muslim faith.” Chicago
These words played a variation on the theme that launched Barack Obama’s domestic career. At home, his personal story as the son of a mother from
Kansas and a father from Kenya symbolized hopes of overcoming ’s
racial divides. Might his personal story as an American-Christian descended
from East African Muslims achieve a similar resonance abroad? America
Now we have the answer, delivered by rocket launchers. No.
Again, this is not to blame Obama. He didn’t make the anti-Americanism, and he faces few easy answers in responding to that anti-Americanism. But it does suggest that greater humility might have been in order back in 2008-2009. And it suggests that the problems faced in the Muslim world today go way deeper than suggested by the glib answer, it’s all about Israel — or all about Bush. The anger goes back way further and lies way deeper.
And it probably won’t be allayed by anything much that the
or the larger Western world can do. It will be allayed by changes inside the
Muslim world — changes that remove the incentives for local power-seekers to
agitate mobs with stories about offenses against Islam; changes that reduce the
receptiveness of ordinary people to the demagoguery of local power-seekers.
Economic development, the advance of education, the rise of forms of Islam that
are less political and more spiritual — these are the forces that will bring
change. They’ll be slow. And they are bigger than any one man, no matter how
unusual his life story; how eloquent his tongue; or how grand his self-image. Israel