I keep forgetting there is
someone else in the world that is more forward looking than the USA
happens to be. Or more precisely, all
the forward energies of the USA
are largely corralled into the Military Industrial Leviathan at the expense of
internal development.
The Chinese know that dragging
out the oil game or becoming dependent on oil is profoundly unwise and that
they can also lead the market.
Yes children, China is going
to produce million of cars for their billion customers and they will not be
fuel based at all. The whole system will
be electric since the present protocol is not an option at all. And yes, China
is now big enough to do all this without any help from North
America .
Expect to see our markets flooded
with cheap electrical cars made in China soon and I mean that
soon.
So while a few are still moaning
about how difficult it all will be, the tsunami of cheap EVs will drown out the
whole Global automobile industry inside a couple of years, commencing the
moment that storage is truly practical and that may have already happened and
we are simply waiting for the first deliverables.
BY TODD WOODY
1 APR 2011 8:28 AM
Electric charging stations like this one in Shenzhen could become a
common sight in China
if the government sticks to its ambitious EV goals. Photo: Remko
TanisWhen it comes to the future of electric cars, as with other green
technologies, the wild card is China .
The People's Republic has invested billions in renewable energy and has
become a solar superpower in photovoltaic manufacturing. It's also poised to
one day potentially blow away the competition in wind turbine production. China 's
new five-year
plan calls for dramatic increases in energy efficiency and designates
electric cars as a strategic
industry. (The government has set a goal of five million electric cars on
the roads by 2020.)
The country already is the world's largest automotive market -- General
Motors now sells more cars there than in the United States -- and its support
of electric car and battery makers has attracted investors like Warren Buffett,
who has put his money into EV manufacturer BYD.
So far, domestic demand in China for electric cars is tiny, even
compared to the nascent U.S.
market. According to a report from GTM Research -- yes, that report has been a
gold mine of data for posts this week -- there are but 295 electric cars on the
road in China. That's not a typo. Not that the U.S. is exactly racing down the
electric highway, as there are only 2,000 electrics in service here, the report
says.
But other numbers in the report foreshadow China 's potential to dominate the
electric car market.
The Chinese government's $17 billion investment in the electric car
industry so far outstrips the $5 billion the U.S. government has put into EVs. China has 120 domestic automakers compared to 13
in the U.S.
And most telling, some 33,200 people work in the Chinese lithium-ion battery
industry, compared to 1,100 here. By 2020, GTM Research estimates that new car
sales will reach 27.5 million annually in China compared to 17 million in the
U.S.
"How aggressively China will mandate EVs is one of the more
interesting considerations in looking at the global market potential, as this
nation now has the means to affect not only global production, but also the
global demand for electric vehicles," wrote David J. Leeds, the report's
author.
Todd Woody is a veteran environmental journalist based in California .
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