This is a remarkably sober
assessment of Russia
today and a clear defining of the counter economic force of corruption. Plainly, Putin is moving toward a true
systemic reform. This comes after years
of careful consolidation of the state’s power lost largely through the collapse
and its aftermath.
If he is elected and he carries
through on the elimination of systemic corruption then Russia will soon be well on the way
to been a high growth economy independent of the resource crutch that has
sustained the state to date.
Oddly it is the right time to do
this. A generation has passed and Russia today
has the bulk of its working force schooled in the post Soviet world. They are ready to perform if given a chance.
As an old investor the country
has made the transition from watch only to begin to dabble. A new sense of ethics will make for excellent
business opportunities. Before now, you
could only count on been robbed.
VLADIMIR PUTIN
From Thursday's Globe and Mail
Published Thursday, Feb. 02, 2012 2:00AM EST
Last updated Thursday, Feb. 02, 2012 2:39AM EST
We are living through a period of serious changes in the world economy.
Never before has technology advanced so quickly. What we see today would have
seemed like science fiction just 15 years ago.
In such circumstances, it is important to ensure stable development, to
give our citizens maximum protection from the impact of global crises while
renewing all aspects of our economy. For Russia , it would be inadmissible
not to have an economy that can guarantee stability, sovereignty and a decent
standard of living.
We need an economy with competitive industries and infrastructure, a
developed service sector and an effective agricultural system – in short, an
economy that harnesses modern technology. Fostering competition is key to
securing demand for innovation. Only competition can encourage private business
to seek enhanced technologies and innovate their products.
To restore our technological leadership, we must choose our priorities
carefully. We should look at sectors such as pharmaceuticals, high-tech
chemicals, composites and non-metal materials, the aviation industry,
information and communication technologies and nanotechnologies.
The experiences of countries such as South
Korea and China
that have successfully modernized their economies show that a push from the
state is necessary. We are also counting on the active participation of
Russian capital in the privatization and further development of high-tech
assets. At the same time, it is necessary to find buyers in global investment
circles who are ready not only to invest in an individual scientific production
facility, but to bring in their connections and experience on the international
markets.
What is important is to get market leaders in global technology to move
from the initial stage where Russia is perceived as a promising market to the
second stage, where they start investing in local production facilities, and
the third stage, where new processes and products would be designed in Russia.
To encourage this, we need to expand our domestic market, making it
more attractive for direct investment. In recent years, we have moved from
declarations of intent to real integration by creating the Customs Union with Belarus and Kazakhstan , the single economic
space and the free-trade zone with CIS countries. Russia has been consistently
working toward establishing a single market with its neighbours.
We must improve Russia ’s
business climate and its attractiveness for long-term investment. Both remain
dissatisfactory. In the past few years, on the initiative of President Dmitry
Medvedev, we launched a series of reforms aimed at improving the business
climate. Until now, however, no significant change has occurred.
Speaking plainly, we still have system-wide corruption. The cost of
doing business varies depending on your “proximity” to specific individuals
within the government machinery. In these conditions, entrepreneurs quite
rationally tend to find backers and strike deals with them rather than
observing the law. Then, having made their deals, such businesses try to
suppress competition.
Clearing the way for businesses prepared to win a competitive battle
on a level playing field is our fundamental system-wide goal. And this cannot
be attained through economic policy alone. We must transform the state itself,
its executive and judiciary branches. We must dismantle the accusation-driven
collection of law-enforcement, investigative and judiciary agencies and
eliminate from our legislation all vestiges of the Soviet legal system.
Economic cases must be transferred from trial courts of general jurisdiction to
arbitration courts. Together with the expert community, judges and
entrepreneurs, we should publicly discuss and introduce before the end of this
year all the necessary initiatives to achieve this.
Economic policy must be adjusted to reduce the level of government
regulation, replacing regulations with market-based mechanisms, and
administrative control with liability insurance. The global crisis lent more
credibility to the proponents of state-led management of the economy. But we
understand that, as opposed to many other countries, the share of the state in
the Russian economy and the degree of government regulation remains rather
high.
We have plans to privatize a number of key assets. I should emphasize
that such privatization is structural, rather than fiscal, in nature. In other
words, we are selling not only to obtain additional budget revenue but, above
all, to boost the competitiveness of our economy and clear the way for private
initiatives. We will not ignore the market environment and sell cheap.
We should also reduce the participation of state-owned companies and
banks, as well as that of natural monopolies, including Gazprom, in the capital
of other economic players, and spin off their non-core businesses, including
media holdings.
Maintaining and improving macroeconomic stability is a prerequisite for
all these developments. It is probably one of our greatest achievements in
recent years. We have come to value macroeconomic stability and use tools for
maintaining it even amid extremely adverse conditions.
And we must eschew protectionist measures. We will soon join the
World Trade Organization. Excessive protectionism always leads to stagnation,
poor quality and high prices.
We have the key drivers for success in place. Russia now has a
rapidly growing middle class prepared to invest in better medical services, better
housing and higher retirement benefits. The task of the government is to make
sure their money doesn’t go up in flames.
The modernized economy should grant everybody the possibility of
self-fulfilment – entrepreneurs, public officials, engineers, skilled workers.
Vladimir Putin is Prime Minister of Russia .
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