So far we have been forced to read tea leaves with the new North
Korean Leader as he consolidates control and retires any opposition.
This represents the first pronouncement that can be accepted as an
invitation to rationalize the situation and should be followed up.
Unless he is blind and stupid, not a zero risk, the way forward is
obvious. Resolving the confrontation and standing down is a really
good place to begin. After all that, the next order of business is
to establish protocols that groom North Korea for outright absorption
into a Greater Korea.
It is a decadal enterprise that will see radical reform for the North
Koreans. I expect them to track the German experience. I think that
the odds are now in favor of just this been undertaken. We can hope.
North Korean
leader, in rare address, seeks end to confrontation with South
By Jack Kim |
SEOUL (Reuters) -
North Korean leader Kim Jong-un called for an end to confrontation
between the two Koreas, technically still at war in the absence of a
peace treaty to end their 1950-53 conflict, in a surprise New Year's
broadcast on state media.
The address by Kim,
who took power in the reclusive state after his father, Kim Jong-il,
died in 2011, appeared to take the place of the policy-setting New
Year's editorial published annually in the past in leading state
newspapers.
But North Korea has
offered olive branches before and Kim's speech does not necessarily
signify a change in tack from a country which vilifies the United
States and U.S. ally South Korea at every chance.
Impoverished North
Korea raised tensions in the region by launching a long-range rocket
in December it said was aimed at putting a scientific satellite in
orbit, drawing international condemnation.
North Korea, which
considers the North and South one country, the Democratic People's
Republic of Korea, is banned from testing missile or nuclear
technology under U.N. sanctions imposed after its 2006 and 2009
nuclear weapons tests.
"An important
issue in putting an end to the division of the country and achieving
its reunification is to remove confrontation between the north and
the south," Kim said in an address that appeared to be
pre-recorded.
"Past records of
inter-Korean relations show that confrontation between fellow
countrymen leads to nothing but war," he said, speaking from an
undisclosed location.
The New Year's address
was the first in 19 years by a North Korean leader, following the
death of Kim Il-sung, Kim Jong-un's grandfather. Kim Jong-il rarely
spoke in public and disclosed his national policy agenda in
editorials in state newspapers.
MAY BE LINKED TO CALL
FOR AID
Kim's statement
"apparently contains a message that he has an intention to
dispel the current face-off (between the two Koreas), which could
eventually be linked with the North's call for aid" from the
South, said Kim Tae-woo, a North Korea expert at the state-funded
Korea Institute for National Unification.
"But such a move
does not necessarily mean any substantive change in the North Korean
regime's policy towards the South."
There was no immediate
reaction from Washington.
Bruce Klingner, a
senior research fellow at the conservative Heritage Foundation in
Washington, said, "Kim Jong-un's New Year's message was
different in format but not in content." It offered further
evidence the young leader is following in the footsteps of his
grandfather, rather than his father, he said.
While the younger
Kim's public diplomacy resonates well with the North Korean public,
"the new North Korean leader's impact on the outside world is
undermined by North Korea's continued provocations and bombastic
rhetoric," Klingner said.
The two Koreas have
seen tensions rise to the highest level in decades after the North
bombed a Southern island in 2010, killing two civilians and two
soldiers.
The sinking of a South
Korean navy ship earlier that year was blamed on the North but
Pyongyang has denied it and accused Seoul of waging a smear campaign
against its leadership.
Last month, South
Korea elected as president Park Geun-hye, a conservative daughter of
assassinated military ruler Park Chung-hee, whom Kim Il-sung had
tried to kill at the height of their Cold War confrontation.
Park has vowed to
pursue engagement with the North and called for dialogue to build
confidence but has demanded that Pyongyang abandon its nuclear
weapons ambitions, something it is unlikely to do.
Conspicuously absent
from Kim's speech was any mention of North Korea's nuclear arms
program.
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