Saturday, June 28, 2014

Japan’s Population Problem

The problem is actually simple to fix, but then no one has been willing to cast it in a proper framework. The difficulty is with the nuclear family concept engineered directly into our whole society is such that its natural inefficiencies are papered over but never addressed. This is also a leading cause of structural poverty as well.

The correct formula must be engineered around the natural community of one hundred and fifty forming a natural community. Communal childcare becomes practical and this allows for the security to produce larger families or even to have families at all. As such a society matures it also becomes possible to approve gestation to meet the needs of the community.
With the economics of child rearing resolved and limited demands on motherhood, it simply becomes easier which is what is needed to solve this problem.

It needs to be solved in Japan,but everywhere else in the developed world as well.

Japan’s Population Problem In Five Charts

06/07/2014 21:31 -0400

With Abenomics facing severe 'reality check' problems as base wages tumble for the 24th month in a row, inflation surges, and the "Misery Index" soars to 33 year highs, this week's release of the annual report from Japan's Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare paints a very grim picture of Japan's population problem.

Japan had 238,632 more deaths than births in 2013, a record.

Taking immigration into account, the total population in 2013 declined by 217,000 people compared to the previous year. Assuming the average woman has 1.35 children—a bit below the current level—Japan’s population is predicted to shrink to 99.1 million in 2048 and 86.7 million in 2060, according to a report by the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research. That’s down from 127 million currently.

The biggest cause of death was cancer at 28.8%, followed by cardiac disease at 15.5% and pneumonia at 9.7%. Cancer has been the top cause of death since 1981 and has continued to increase. For the age group 15-29, the death rate for males was more than twice of that for females, and the predominant cause of death for both genders was suicide.
In 2013, Japan had 1,029,800 births, the fewest on record since World War II.

The number of births has been on the decline since the end of the second baby boom in 1973.
Women are having slightly more children but still well below replacement rate.

The total fertility rate in 2013 was 1.43, a 0.02-point increase from 2012. The figure represents the number of children an average woman will bear in a lifetime based on fertility data from a given year. The total fertility rate has been gradually rising since hitting a record low of 1.26 in 2005, but is still from the level—slightly above 2.0—needed to keep population steady over the long term.

Fewer couples are getting married.

In 2013, 661,594 couples got married, a postwar low. The average age at the first marriage was 29.3 years old for women, three years older than the average two decades ago. The average age for a woman to have her first child was 30.4 years old in 2013, and that figure is also rising.

The Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare said one reason for the trend is the difficulty women have balancing career advancement and family. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s government has proposed more support for working mothers, but the budget for supporting families with children is barely 1% of GDP for Japan, while it is over 3% of GDP in England and Sweden.

1 comment:

Steve said...

I often traveled to Japan over two decades. I see it as the people are on strike. Why have children if they will have to live my life.

I am not a Japan basher at all much to admire, but they are in a rut.

A rut that is a harbinger for us all, because as a fascist place Japan is a soft landing.