Monday, February 26, 2018

New Tesla Model 3 Battery Line Could Increase Output By Factor Of 4

However you wish to look at it, the EV will now match the long established ICE in terms of cost.  Thus global expansion has become plausible and can be expected to roll out during the next five years.  Tooling isobviously reasy as well.

The economic advantage can now be expected to steadily shift in favor of the EV.  Inasmuch as surge oil production is unsustainable, this is actually well timed.

Thus by 2025, expect to pay a significant premium for an ICE and also expect to see leasing become strictly EV.  Longer life spans alone will  power that as EV's can charge out lower leasising prices.

New Tesla Model 3 Battery Line Could Increase Output By Factor Of 4

16 hours ago by Eric Loveday 55

Gigafactory Cell Production

It will arrive in March, if everything works out as planned.

Tesla Model 3 Dash Install

One of the overlooked takeaways from the recent Tesla earnings call was connected to automation in battery module production.

Following the call, we stated: 

Regarding Model 3 production bottlenecks, battery module production is still the focus for near-term improvements. A new automated system for two of the four zones is nearing completion in Germany. It needs to be disassembled, shipped, then reassembled at the Gigafactory (it’s expected to arrive in March). This one line should be as productive as three to four of the lines they currently have and take up less physical space. They also have a “semi-automatic” line, which involves people working with the machines. It has been, Musk said, “remarkably effective,” and is exceeding the purely automatic lines.

Automation is key for several reasons. First, as stated above, production will increase as the level of automation expands. But there’s another, more important aspect to this. It was mentioned during the call:

“This is the year when we believe we can achieve true cost parity – producing a premium EV like the Model 3 will be no more expensive than producing an ICE vehicle, something that many believe is not yet possible.”

One way to reduce production costs is to increase automation and decrease the number of paid line workers. So, automation will be one of the major factors in Tesla’s effort to produce a “premium EV like the Model 3″ that “will be no more expensive than producing an ICE vehicle.”

As of right now, Tesla is losing money on each Model 3 sold. This info was released by the automaker in the earnings report:

Since Model 3 production was in the early stages of the ramp, allocation of full operating costs and depreciation made its gross margin negative. We are expecting a negative Model 3 gross margin in Q1, while generating positive operating cash flows.

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