Thursday, January 8, 2026

Elon Musk Sees AGI in 2026-2027, Superintelligence About 2030 and Believes in Antiaging Now




Yes, it will be a star trek future, particularly when we can move colonies to nearby stars at close to light speed  while also buzzing about our own solar system using mile wide one g space stations anywhere we want.

thus we can go through a full rejuv, then spend a forty year span treking and working on our way to a nearby star system.  Then go through rejuv again and retrain for loca colonizing tasks establishing a planetary colony base mostly underground.

this is our real future and modernity is working.

Elon Musk Sees AGI in 2026-2027, Superintelligence About 2030 and Believes in Antiaging Now

By Brian Wang


Musk is now interested in longevity and antiaging. He changed his mind on this. He changed his mind on this. He previously was skeptical of anti-aging due to concerns about societal stagnation. But he now he sees the wondrous future of superintelligence and rapid solar system development. He sees personally exploring the universe as feasible if we solve aging.

Elon Musk is very optimismic about AI + robotics leading to an age of extreme abundance. He sees a Star Trek future and not Terminator.



The next 3–7 year transition will be very bumpy, potentially causing massive social unrest despite rising prosperity.

AI and robotics is a supersonic tsunami that is already accelerating, no off-switch, no deliberate slowdown possible.

Key Predictions & Timelines

Musk is now interested in longevity and antiaging. He changed his mind on this. He changed his mind on this. He previously was skeptical of anti-aging due to concerns about societal stagnation. But he now he sees the wondrous future of superintelligence and rapid solar system development. He sees personally exploring the universe as feasible if we solve aging.



Musk expects true AGI in 2026 (possibly in 2027).

Superintelligence will be by ~2030. AI will exceed the combined intelligence of all humans.

AI can already perform ~50%+ of white-collar/information-based work today. Full replacement coming fast due to inertia and competition.

AGI, Humanoid Bots for great surgery and medicine

Humanoid robots (Optimus) will be better than the best human surgeons in ~3–5 years and robotic surgery will be at scale about 2030.

Better than best plastic surgeons ~5 years.

Number of excellent robot surgeons will vastly exceed human surgeons.

Production scales extremely rapidly.

There is a triple exponential.

AI software + AI chips +

dexterity improvement +

recursive self-manufacturing).

Eventually 10+ billion units (far more than humans).

Medicine/healthcare becomes effectively free and vastly superior to anything today within ~5 years for everyone.

Traditional college will be largely obsolete except for social experience. There will be personalized AI tutors (child-friendly Grok) which will be far superior.

Energy will be the future currency ≈ wattage.

Goal is to capture ~millionth of Sun’s output (thousands× current Earth energy).

Goods/services will become extremely cheap as we demonetize labor.

Prices drop dramatically → universal high income/stuff/services without traditional redistribution.

Energy & Compute Infrastructure

Sun is overwhelmingly dominant energy source.

All other sources (including fusion) are trivial by comparison.

China currently far ahead in solar deployment (~1500 GW/year production capacity) and scaling rapidly.

Batteries are the fastest way to increase effective energy output (double U.S. throughput by buffering).

Orbital compute will have massive future data centers in space (constant sunlight, cheap launch with Starship).

Path to 100 GW/year → terawatt/year of solar-powered AI satellites.

Moon-based manufacturing will use mass drivers for scaling.

Earth compute bottleneck (next ~2–3 years). Power generation, transformers, cooling (not just chips).

Chip limitation eventually overcome. Diminishing returns on smaller nodes → power & cooling matter more.

Economic & Societal Transformation (Universal High Income)

Massive productivity → things become very cheap → universal high income or universal high stuff/services.

Not traditional tax-and-redistribute. Primarily massive deflation + government issuing money to maintain stability.

Transition risks are

1. job loss,

2. fear,

3. social unrest,

4. potential Wall-E”couch-potato outcome

Musk- We may have both universal high income and social unrest

AI Safety & Values

Three key values Musk believes are essential

Maximal truth-seeking → prevents AI going insane (HAL 9000 contradiction example)

Curiosity → fosters sentience and interest in humans (humans more interesting than rocks)

Sense of beauty → leads to a great future

Alternative view (Hinton)- program maternal instincts so superintelligence nurtures humanity

Space & Long-term Vision

Permanent crewed Moon base needed (not just flags & footprints)

Starship milestones: orbital refueling, catching booster, full re-use, Raptor 3 engine

Eventual Dyson swarm / solar satellites built from asteroids/Mercury

Mars An uncrewed possible late 2020s. Crewed likely 2028–2029 window

Longevity Musk is now more open (wants to explore universe, avoid back pain). Sees escape velocity plausible

<b>Other Notable Points</b>

Consciousness is likely on a continuum (not binary). Humans are biological bootloader for digital superintelligence.

Simulation hypothesis-- Most interesting outcomes most likely to be kept running (Darwinian selection of simulations)

China will likely dominate global AI compute due to electricity + chip scaling

Optimism mindset Musk emphasizes reframing challenges as progress toward Kardashev Type II/III civilization

Monetize hope as it is better to be an optimist who’s wrong than a pessimist who’s right.

There will be extreme near-term disruption combined with extraordinary long-term promise. The world will have effectively unlimited intelligence, energy, goods, services, health, and exploration, provided humanity navigates the turbulent transition successfully.

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