Saturday, August 21, 2010
That is naturally a difficult national problem as the
has also learned. It does not shut down and go asleep when no treat is in the offing. US
There are really three dangers. The leadership is not truly secure as an elected regime and will always be at least partly mistrusted because of this. This can change though fairly quickly because the Chinese people themselves are in position now to demand it. Every strike and demonstration is educating the people about democratic activism.
The second danger is that they decide to move on
. It is not necessary but a military mindset will rationalize it. The leadership has to be strong enough to rein them in and perhaps allow a full easing of relations. Once free trade and passage is established, it is likely only a matter of time before Taiwan may join of its own free will. Hell, just recognize the historic claims of Taiwanese citizens in china and you will almost buy them. It could all be done with sugar as Taiwan China transitions to a democratic political; system not far removed from what is in today. Taiwan
The third thorn is
North Korea which forces the USA to maintain an unwelcome presence in . The South Korea wants to go home. It is no longer in US China’s interest to prop up North Korea and they have prepared to pay the price of repairing the wreckage. Let them and South Korea has a dynamic friend in the region that is a natural ally. China
Beyond that the oceans need security and a general alliance with the
will solve all that and wonderfully project Chinese prestige. Also buy an aircraft carrier. The USA USA has far too many of them and does not need to start building the damn things as they are about to be come obsolete except as they are presently used to support land operations elsewhere. The China deserves that task US
On August 16, the annual report to Congress on the Chinese military was released by the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD). There had beenspeculation that the White House wanted to hold the April Nuclear SecuritySummit and the May U.S.-China Security and Economic Dialogue before the report became public. President Barack Obama hoped to make diplomatic progress with
Beijing before attention was drawn to ’s military buildup. The talks proved futile. And since May, there have been a series of competing naval maneuvers near the Korean peninsula and in the South China Sea, which have highlighted the growing tensions between China Beijing’s ambitions and the security interests of the United States and others along the Pacific Rim.
The 83-page Pentagon study looks at all aspects of the People’s Republic of
’s military strategy, but three areas warrant particular attention: missiles, naval capabilities, and the defense industry. According to the OSD analysis: China
Taiwan would help China penetrate the “first island chain” that runs from Japan through Taiwan to the Philippines and then to . Indonesia thinks of the waters between the mainland and the island nations to the east as being Chinese territorial seas. The OSD report notes that the PRC is developing its own legal doctrine which is “inconsistent with international law” in regard to control of the trade routes and seabed resources of the region. To put muscle behind its claims, the People’s Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) held major air and naval exercises in the East China and Beijing South China seas in June and July. Beijing also loudly protested U.S. Navy deployments in the Sea of Japan and South China Sea, and the upcoming joint U.S.-South Korea exercise in the Yellow Sea.
The PLAN has been expanding, backed by the world’s second largest ship building industry. The OSD report states, “The PLA Navy has the largest force of principal combatants, submarines, and amphibious warfare ships in
Asia. China’s naval forces include some 75 principal combatants, more than 60 submarines, 55 medium and large amphibious ships, and roughly 85 missile-equipped patrol craft.” A new naval base on Hainan Island is nearly complete, with underground facilities for submarines and advanced surface warships within easy striking range of the major trade routes of the South China Sea.
A priority is the construction of new nuclear powered and diesel-electric attack submarines armed with anti-ship cruise missiles. China is also developing an anti-ship ballistic missile with a range in excess of 1,000 miles, with a maneuverable warhead. It is designed to strike
U.S. aircraft carriers before their fighters are within range of , with a weapon that would be hard to dodge or intercept. China