The coalition of the willing

 

The coalition of the willing

The USA triggered the process of coalition assembly, however do recall that china was and is right there as well.

the natural leader was always Canada for two reasons. One is geographic and the second is resources which have been slowly becoming larger.

The first fact is that it is geographically the transport buckle between europe and Asia.  It was already quite effective and now it gets the investment to be efficient.  it is not obvious until you understand what is possible.  The second fact is that it is the default supplier for just about everything needed for manufacturing.  The oil is not the cheapest ,but it is both plentiful and safe.

The energy surplus naturally provides a aluminium ecsystem that is now huge.

all this supported the USA under what is best understood as a gentlemans agreement.  The trump kicked it over.  Now the USA must replace those resources globally.

i understood all this when it did not really matter.  that was 1965.  and here we are.  That is why his tariff war left me gobsmacked because i understood what was likely to happen.  It was far faster and not through trend lines

that is the trade equation. and it can never get better for the USA.  In fact USA manufacturing has now a massive incentive to steadily expand in Canada.  just in Aluminium.

This coalition also provides a natural platform for an expanded military alliance of middle powerrs already cooperating whose combied population hugely surpasses either China or the USA and is eadsily trained and asseembled in Alberta if necessary.  forty countries can each deliver multiple regiments and a million man expeditionay force can be imagined.

none of this has to ever become real, but it will rise if challenged.  now imagine a million man fully trained and equipped army landing in Taiwan, or south Korea or the Himalayas or the Baltic, or even the Ukraine.    This is possible and this makes aggression unthinkable as foreign policy.