Friday, March 19, 2010

Reforming Russian Order of Battle

Historically, Russia was the last bastion of a traditional conscript army suitable to fight out conflicts engaging like armies.  These were meant to achieve victory through simple attrition.  That world has ended, due to the modern soldier who must be well trained and superbly armed and superbly supported.

Against conscript armies such as Iraq’s, the US army achieved mind boggling kill ratios.

Even in the present wars of insurgency, the modern armies are minor and caused by indirect means such as IED’s.  The insurgency no longer owns the night and must move and operate almost in full view.

Yet a nation such as Russia has legitimate security needs.  Thus this reports on the first steps toward reforming doctrine.

The best way to achieve Russian aims would be to move toward full integration with the EU and NATO.  There are plenty of difficulties to overcome but the simple initiation of a beginning will speed everyone down that path.  It would also begin the end game with the various left over issues relating to the old USSR.

NATO would emerge as the military expression of the West representing the war making capacity of one billion people now effectively united in culture, economic system and through a common set of political principles.  It is messy but it is still recognizable. The joining in of Russia, the Ukraine and the European remnants of their empire would create one powerful voice athwart Eurasia.

Russian Military Reform In Times Of Crisis

by Ilya Kramnik

military commentator RIA Novosti

Moscow (RIA Novosti) Mar 11, 2010

On March 5, 2010, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev attended an expanded meeting of the Ministry ofDefense in Moscow. The focus of this meeting was the ongoing military reform.

The Russian war machine has not undergone such extensive restructuring in the past 150 years. New tables of organization were introduced in the army in early 2009. The four-tier troop-control system consisting of military districts, armies, divisions and regiments was replaced with a three-tier system consisting of tactical commands, brigades and battalions.

The reforms have established new army brigades while disbanding a large number of reserve units to be called up in the event of a full-scale mobilization. The army is being prepared to fight in local and regionalconflicts of varying intensity, which are now considered the most likely form of military engagement for Russia.

President Medvedev said that there is still the potential for conflict near the Russian border. As an example Medvedev cited the rebuilding of the Georgian army following its defeat in the five-day war fought with Russia in August 2008.

As nuclear war is the only form of large-scale war imaginable under present circumstances, it is essential to preserve Russia's strategic nuclear forces.

The army reforms have not been painless. In 2009, only a few units received excellent marks, and serious problems remain with respect to military cohesion. Nevertheless, it is still too early to draw conclusions based on the results of the first year. In effect, this was the first combat-training season under the new regime, and it is very difficult to score excellent marks from the get-go.

The crisis has also affected military reform. Against the backdrop of a bad economy, Russian leaders were forced to scale back the role of contract soldiers and to draft more conscripts again. In light of Russia's demographic problem and the declining number of eligible conscripts, two-year military service may be reinstated in the near future, making it possible to call up fewer conscripts and to improve military-training standards.

The crisis has also affected the formation of a professional sergeant corps. Warrant officers who were to have been replaced with contract sergeants and sergeant majors continue to serve with the Army and the Navy.

Dmitry Medvedev has remarked on the even more serious problem of shortages of modern weapons in the Russian army. The Armed Forces have not received any new weapons systems in over 15 years. Consequently, their military equipment must be updated more quickly than in conditions of steady development.

"I have instructed the government to upgrade an average of 9-11% of the weapons and military equipment each year. This will increase the share of modern military equipment to 70% by 2020," Medvedev told ministry officials.

The number of government defense contracts must be increased considerably in order to accomplish this objective. The Armed Forces must receive an annual minimum of 35 ballistic missiles, 50 new and 50 upgraded warplanes, 20 to 25 military helicopters, 3-4 sea-going and ocean-going warships, 2 nuclear-powered submarines and 1 diesel-powered submarine, etc.

However, output is still lagging behind these targets. The defense industry has started to gradually increase production in order to equip the Army and strategic nuclear forces, but production of warplanes for the Air Force and ships and submarines for the Navy remain seriously behind schedule. Current procurement volumes will be able to replace no more than 50% of available Air Force and Navy equipment, which could seriously impair our national defense capabilities.

Top officials at the Ministry of Defense admit that there are not enough government defense contracts at present. In December 2009, Defense Minister Anatoly Serdyukov told Rossiiskaya Gazeta that the current volumes of government orders for military equipment are not final, and that they would continue to increase.

However, Serdyukov also admitted that it is unlikely that the Russian defense industry could accomplish this objective unless it were overhauled, the details of which are currently under discussion.

The Russian Armed Forces are now forced to buy foreign military equipment. There are plans to acquire two Mistral-class amphibious assault ships from France and to build two more at Russian shipyards under a French license. This deal aims to provide the Russian Navy with additional new ships and to overhaul the ship-building sector.

Top Russian political and military leaders are openly discussing the problems facing the national Armed Forces. This is a positive development, as it shows that they understand the problems. However, the extent to which they understand is still not clear, as the military reforms and the system for awarding government defense contracts remain highly classified.

The public, the media and the military itself often learn about changes only after they are well underway, making it extremely difficult to correct any missteps.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author's and do not necessarily represent those of RIA Novosti.

Source: RIA Novosti.

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