Monday, July 27, 2020

India's forward Strategic Options.



We have recently been reminded that China does have imperial expansionist ambitions that do need to be countered.  However the barrier of the Himalayas makes the line of contact entirely problematic for both parties as recently shown in Ladahk.


A border skirmish is the best risk and general threat at hand.  Considering the real weight of either combatant it cannot change the strategic situation or ever produce a war winning strategy.

What has happened though is that India has now been freed up to take a much firmer role first is securing the Indian seas, but also all waters including the South China Sea in concert with all its natural allies looking for a backup to overcome USA fickleness.  Thus we now see QUAD exercises underway in fact if not in name.

The stage is also been set for the QUAD to rumble all Chinese island building back into the sea under even a UN mandate or not.

Strategically  though, the real club is establishing a forward force in place in Taiwan of a fully professional million man army with ample ally support.  Naval assets make transitioning to the Chinese mainland a real threat in place.  This forces the Chinese to place the bulk of their regulars along their own coast which is awfully far from any mountain passes.

It also places strategic weight in support of South Korea, Japan and even Vietnam.  This can be followed by building extensive military roads east west between India and hte Vietnam coast.

Such a strategic  deployment would also cement the USA navy in place as well in support of a general alliance and Cninese ambitions would be quelled forever..


No comments: