What this brings home with a thud is that the Arab regimes are at war
with radical Islam as much as Israel is and that the best solution is
to allow Israel to liquidate this enclave and add the land strip back
into Israel.
We can also be sure that Israel will have a plan to handle the
population displacement as well.
Egypt then ends up with a completely secure Eastern border which has
almost never been true in thousands of years of Egyptian history
except perhaps during the time of Herod. That completely eliminates
any risk of conflict for Egypt and cleanly disentangles it from Arab
machinations.
The harsh reality is that Israel can now establish the borders that
make historic sense and geographic sense and impose an obviously fair
solution which can be stuck together without a meaningful response
from anyone else. The only question is when if ever. My point is
that they are no longer opposed by state power.
Arab Leaders,
Viewing Hamas as Worse Than Israel, Stay Silent
By DAVID D.
KIRKPATRICK
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/31/world/middleeast/fighting-political-islam-arab-states-find-themselves-allied-with-israel.html?_r=0
CAIRO — Battling
Palestinian militants in Gaza two years ago, Israel found itself
pressed from all sides by unfriendly Arab neighbors to end the
fighting.
Not this time.
After the military
ouster of the Islamist government in Cairo last year, Egypt has led a
new coalition of Arab states — including Saudi Arabia, the United
Arab Emirates and Jordan — that has effectively lined up with
Israel in its fight against Hamas, the Islamist movement that
controls the Gaza Strip. That, in turn, may have contributed to the
failure of the antagonists to reach a negotiated cease-fire even
after more than three weeks of bloodshed.
“The Arab states’
loathing and fear of political Islam is so strong that it outweighs
their allergy to Benjamin Netanyahu,” the prime minister of Israel,
said Aaron David Miller, a scholar at the Wilson Center in Washington
and a former Middle East negotiator under several presidents.
Mourners at the
funeral of an Israeli soldier killed by a rocket fired from the Gaza
Strip took cover on Tuesday during a Palestinian attack.Israel Steps
Up Airstrikes in Gaza as International Cease-Fire Efforts StumbleJULY
29, 2014
“I have never seen a
situation like it, where you have so many Arab states acquiescing in
the death and destruction in Gaza and the pummeling of Hamas. The
silence is deafening.”
Although Egypt is
traditionally the key go-between in any talks with Hamas — deemed a
terrorist group by the United States and Israel — the government in
Cairo this time surprised Hamas by publicly proposing a cease-fire
agreement that met most of Israel’s demands and none from the
Palestinian group. Hamas was tarred as intransigent when it
immediately rejected it, and Cairo has continued to insist that its
proposal remains the starting point for any further discussions.
But as commentators
sympathetic to the Palestinians slammed the proposal as a ruse to
embarrass Hamas, Egypt’s Arab allies praised it. King Abdullah of
Saudi Arabia called President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi of Egypt the next
day to commend it, Mr. Sisi’s office said, in a statement that cast
no blame on Israel but referred only to “the bloodshed of innocent
civilians who are paying the price for a military confrontation for
which they are not responsible.”
“There is clearly a
convergence of interests of these various regimes with Israel,”
said Khaled Elgindy, a former adviser to Palestinian negotiators who
is now a fellow at the Brookings Institution in Washington. In the
battle with Hamas, Mr. Elgindy said, the Egyptian fight against the
forces of political Islam and the Israeli struggle against
Palestinian militants were nearly identical. “Whose proxy war is
it?” he asked.
The dynamic has
inverted all expectations of the Arab Spring uprisings. As recently
as 18 months ago, most analysts in Israel, Washington and the
Palestinian territories expected the popular uprisings to make the
Arab governments more responsive to their citizens and therefore more
sympathetic to the Palestinians and more hostile to Israel.
But instead of
becoming more isolated, Israel’s government has emerged for the
moment as an unexpected beneficiary of the ensuing tumult, now
tacitly supported by the leaders of the resurgent conservative order
as an ally in their common fight against political Islam.
Egyptian officials
have directly or implicitly blamed Hamas instead of Israel for
Palestinian deaths in the fighting, even when, for example, United
Nations schools have been hit by Israeli shells, something that
occurred again on Wednesday.
And the pro-government
Egyptian news media has continued to rail against Hamas as a tool of
a regional Islamist plot to destabilize Egypt and the region, just as
it has since the military ouster of President Mohamed Morsi of the
Muslim Brotherhood one year ago. (Egyptian prosecutors have charged
Hamas with instigating violence in Egypt, killing its soldiers and
police officers, and even breaking Mr. Morsi and other Brotherhood
leaders out of jail during the 2011 uprising.)
The diatribes against
Hamas by at least one popular pro-government talk show host in Egypt
were so extreme that the government of Israel broadcast some of them
into Gaza.
“They use it to say,
‘See, your supposed friends are encouraging us to kill you!’ ”
Maisam Abumorr, a Palestinian student in Gaza City, said in a
telephone interview.
Some pro-government
Egyptian talk shows broadcast in Gaza “are saying the Egyptian Army
should help the Israeli Army get rid of Hamas,” she said.
At the same time,
Egypt has infuriated Gazans by continuing its policy of shutting down
tunnels used for cross-border smuggling into the Gaza Strip and
keeping border crossings closed, exacerbating a scarcity of food,
water and medical supplies after three weeks of fighting.
“Sisi is worse than
Netanyahu, and the Egyptians are conspiring against us more than the
Jews,” said Salhan al-Hirish, a storekeeper in the northern Gaza
town of Beit Lahiya.
“They finished the
Brotherhood in Egypt, and now they are going after Hamas.”
Egypt and other Arab
states, especially the Persian Gulf monarchies of Saudi Arabia and
the United Arab Emirates, are finding themselves allied with Israel
in a common opposition to Iran, a rival regional power that has a
history of funding and arming Hamas.
For Washington, the
shift poses new obstacles to its efforts to end the fighting.
Although Egyptian intelligence agencies continue to talk with Hamas,
as they did under former President Hosni Mubarak and Mr. Morsi,
Cairo’s new animosity toward the group has called into question the
effectiveness of that channel, especially after the response to
Egypt’s first proposal.
As a result, Secretary
of State John Kerry turned to the more Islamist-friendly states of
Turkey and Qatar as alternative mediators — two states that had
grown in regional stature with the rising tide of political Islam
after the Arab Spring, and that have suffered a degree of isolation
as that tide has ebbed.
But that move has put
Mr. Kerry himself in the incongruous position of appearing to some
analysts as less hostile to Hamas — and thus less supportive of
Israel — than Egypt or its Arab allies.
For Israeli hawks, the
change in the Arab states has been relatively liberating.
“The reading here is
that, aside from Hamas and Qatar, most of the Arab governments are
either indifferent or willing to follow the leadership of Egypt,”
said Martin Kramer, president of Salem College in Jerusalem and an
American-Israeli scholar of Islamist and Arab politics. “No one in
the Arab world is going to the Americans and telling them, ‘Stop it
now,’ ” as Saudi Arabia did, for example, in response to
earlier Israeli crackdowns on the Palestinians, he said. “That
gives the Israelis leeway.”
With the resurgence of
the anti-Islamist, military-backed government in Cairo, Mr. Kramer
said, the new Egyptian government and allies like Saudi Arabia appear
to believe that “the Palestinian people are to bear the suffering
in order to defeat Hamas, because Hamas cannot be allowed to triumph,
and cannot be allowed to emerge as the most powerful Palestinian
player.”
Egyptian officials
disputed that characterization, arguing that the new government is
maintaining its support for the Palestinian people despite its
deteriorating relations with Hamas, and has grown no closer to Israel
than it was under Mr. Morsi or Mr. Mubarak.
“We have a
historical responsibility toward the Palestinians, and that is not
related to our stance on any specific faction,” said a senior
Egyptian diplomat, speaking on condition of anonymity because of the
sensitivity of the talks. “Hamas is not Gaza, and Gaza is not
Palestine.”
Egyptian officials
noted that the Egyptian military and the Red Crescent had delivered
medical supplies and other aid to Gaza. Cairo continues to keep open
lines of communication with Hamas, including allowing a senior Hamas
official, Moussa Abu Marzouq, to reside in Cairo.
Other analysts,
though, argued that Egypt and its Arab allies were trying to balance
their own overriding dislike for Hamas against their citizens’
emotional support for the Palestinians, a balancing act that could
grow more challenging as the Gaza carnage mounts.
“The pendulum of the
Arab Spring has swung in Israel’s favor, just like it had earlier
swung in the opposite direction,” said Mr. Elgindy, the former
Palestinian adviser.
“But I am not sure
the story is finished at this point.”
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