What
needs to be said is that global poverty is dropping rapidly and in
fact much faster than the most optimistic projections here.
Illiteracy is no problem. The advent of the cell phone empowered
everyone, even it a child is acting as the link. Society is
presently readjusting as fast as possible because they can. Even the
least connected illiterate is a good prospect for enough literacy to
operate the cell phone. The rapid drop in the chart is reflecting
this.
It is
also true that doubling the economic activity of two out of three
people immediately employs the other third in support. That is the
true meaning of full employment. In short the present steep slope
will continue to zero. After that it is a case of getting the
numbers correct.
Otherwise,
there is no point been brave because it will be years before anyone
is shown to be right. Yet 2020 is a plausible target year for
poverty to disappear for over 97% of the global population. It
really is a communication driven collapse that is underway.
APRIL 03, 2013
In December 2012,
Nextbigfuture proposed bringing world extreme poverty below 3% by
2025.
Yesterday (April 2, 2013) World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim outlined a bold agenda for the global community toward ending extreme poverty by 2030 and promoting shared prosperity to boost the incomes of the poorest 40 percent of the population in each country.
The World Bank President outlined a plan to reduce extreme poverty to less than 3% of the world's population by 2030. This is pretty much the same poverty target suggested by Nextbigfuture.
You are welcome World Bank Group President Jim Yong Kim.
Brookings Institute analysis of poverty has better numbers than the World Bank. Brookings institute indicated the 2015 the extreme poverty should be down to 10% or less of the world's population. Down from 47 per cent in 1990 and 24 percent in 2008. It seems that a goal of getting extreme poverty down below 5% is easily possible for 2025. This would leave about 350 million people living with less than $1.25/day mainly in Africa. Nigeria is actually doing pretty well economically and is expected to account for 90-100 million of the extremely poor in 2015. If Nigeria continues to do well then they could make a lot of progress against poverty by 2020. A reachable positive scenario is to have less than 200 million living with less than $1.25/day. An extreme poverty rate of 2.5%.
Continue progress on Child survival
The number of under-five deaths worldwide fell from more than 12.0 million in 1990 to 7.6 million in 2010.The goal should be to bring under five deaths worldwide below 1 million by 2025.
Illiteracy a big problem for rapid progress against $2/day poverty - Near Poverty Target
It is also conceivable to have less than 1 billion living on less than $2/day in 2020 (near poverty target). However, this is a tougher area to make a lot of progress. The reason being is that there are high levels of illiteracy in India and Africa. Someone who is 15 or over now and is illiterate will be 25 or older in 2020 and will be illiterate. India likely has 30-40% illiteracy. Some who are considered literate only have to be able to write their name. This is not true literacy.
Bring the global middle class at $10/day PPP could double from 2 billion to 4 billion by 2025
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