I will add one key item to the
general discussion. It is that effective
power must be shifted downward. It is not enough to elect a king and call it
democracy. In fact, the lesson we can take
from China
is that lower levels are operationally autonomous and potentially quite
annoying to any centrists. The solution
is to drive demos at the municipal level at least and then allow higher levels
of polity to arise as demanded until it naturally feeds the universal demos
that elects the national heights.
Otherwise we are treated to an unending series of faux elections and outright voter fraud in order to grab the commanding heights.
Put another way, if democracy is
possible at the town hall then it is convincing at higher levels because the
voter has an effective local buffer to protect him.
It was very promising to see a
town rise up in China
and force a Communist council to retreat.
Defining Democracy Through Thick
and Thin
MARCH 26, 2013 by BRAD TAYLOR
Experts routinely tout democratization as the key to promoting freedom and prosperity in underdeveloped nations. They argue that making leaders accountable to their citizens would promote good governance and remove the institutional barriers to economic development. Adherents of this position cite a large number of empirical studies, which show that democratic countries tend to perform better than autocracies across a variety of well-being indicators.
Development agencies and scholars therefore give democratization high priority relative to other anti-poverty programs. But these same experts completely disregard alternative governance models, such as radical decentralization. Thus, it seems everybody knows democracy is the best way to promote robust economic development, so the challenge is in finding the best way to promote democracy.
Biasing Democracy
The way scholars
define and measure democracy, however, includes a bias. This bias prevents a
fair evaluation of the alternatives. That is, if we want to know whether
promoting democracy in failed or authoritarian states is a good idea, we need
to treat democracy as a set of institutional inputs analytically distinct from
the effects of those institutions. Even critics offering a minimalist
definition of democracy include outcomes in their definitions.
Both therefore stack
the deck in democracy’s favor. Let me explain.
Under some
definitions, democracy requires not only certain mechanisms for collective
decision-making, but also liberal policy outcomes in various areas. While some
conceptions of democracy are even more restrictive, the broadest commonly
accepted definition in contemporary political science has four criteria:
·free and fair elections;
·close to universal adult suffrage;
·freedom of speech, association, and press; and
·elected officials not unduly influenced by unelected groups such
as the military or religious leaders.
If any one of these
conditions is routinely violated, the country is deemed undemocratic, or at
least less democratic than countries that do meet the criteria.
Political Systems: Inputs, Dynamics, and Outputs
Broadly speaking,
political systems can be defined at one or more of three levels: (1)
institutional inputs, (2) political dynamics, or (3) policy outcomes. At the
first level, we have the basic rules of the political game such as the
electoral system and constitution. At the second, we have the interaction of
political players within those rules—how voters vote and how parties and
candidates compete with one another. At the third level, we have the policy
decisions that emerge from this interaction.
“Thick” definitions of democracy reference all three levels: A democracy needs particular institutional inputs as well as certain patterns of electoral competition and policy outcomes. Minimalists insist the third level has no place in the definition of democracy, because it is an output. Such minimalists fail to recognize, however, that their own second-level definition is also an output rather than an input. The degree of competition in an electoral system cannot be directly controlled. Rather, it emerges from the interaction of politicians, voters, and special interests given the rules defined at the first level.
When we define
democracy in terms of competition we make an implicit assumption that
democracies are necessarily competitive. Since political competition is an
intermediate goal of democracy, the minimalist conception of democracy picks
out democracies that are at least moderately successful in a particular way.
More on Thick and Thin Conceptions
The Economist
Intelligence Unit’s Democracy Index uses such a “thick” conception, which contains
categories not only for the functioning of the electoral system, but also for
civil liberties and effective governance. A definition like this clearly allows
us to say very little about the desirability of democratic institutions as a
set of inputs. Countries with relatively little corruption and repression are
likely to perform well on a number of other dimensions, but such a lack might
have nothing to do with democracy’s institutional machinery.
Recognizing this
problem, many political scientists have followed Joseph Schumpeter in defining
democracy as a system in which collective decisions are made through a
competitive struggle for votes. In Adam Przeworski’s words, a democracy is “a
system in which parties lose elections.” Countries are deemed democratic if and
only if there are somewhat competitive elections. Nominally democratic
countries with rigged or otherwise uncompetitive elections are excluded, but
there is no requirement of a free press or an autonomous legislature.
The
widely-used Polity IV database of regime type takes such a minimalist
approach, considering only “key qualities of executive recruitment, constraints
on executive authority, and political competition.” Here, there is no automatic
assumption that democracies respect civil liberties or operate effectively.
While a
minimalist—or ‘thin’—definition of democracy is far better than the
alternative, it does not go far enough in defining democracy in terms of inputs
rather than outputs. A competitive electoral system is not an institutional
input, but one possible intermediate effect of democratic institutions. The
mistake here is not quite as obvious as defining democracy in terms of policy
outcomes, but it is hugely important for the practice of so-called “comparative
institutional analysis.” In other words, if we’re going to compare sets of
institutions in terms of their ability to improve overall peace and well-being,
shouldn’t we exclude output biases altogether?
Beyond Democracy?
Consider what this
means for comparative institutional analysis.
We want to know
whether some failed state would be “better off” embracing democracy, autocracy,
or anarchy. We look around at the performance of democracies as conventionally
defined and see that they perform well on a variety of economic and social
measures. The problem is that our very definition of democracy excludes many of
democracy’s failures. It is not uncommon, for example, for a country with
democratic institutions to become dominated by a minority faction able to
prevent meaningful competition while retaining the institutions of
democracy.
If we want a fair comparison among systems, we need to define political systems in terms of their institutional inputs and nothing more. Some anarchists might claim, for example, that Somalia is not really anarchic because tribal groups have gained some territorial power; and some communists might claim that the USSR was not really communist because its rulers were insufficiently committed to the communist vision. These arguments commit the “no true Scotsman” fallacy in that they arbitrarily narrow the definition of a term in order to preserve a hypothesis in the face of conflicting evidence.
The claim that Venezuela
is not really democratic commits the same fallacy in a subtler way, which
generally goes unnoticed. Democracy cannot reasonably be defined as a system
with genuinely competitive elections any more than anarchy can reasonably be
defined as a system in which there is no coercion, or autocracy as a system
with a wise and benevolent despot. An institution defined by its goals is
virtually guaranteed to be successful under such a construal.
For democracy, the defining feature is an electoral system in which elected officials have the power to make laws and policies. Particular democracies will have additional rules designed to improve democratic performance, but these will always be formal rules with the potential to fail.
It seems unlikely
that autocracy has a general advantage over democracy in poor countries, but
the process of democratic transition is itself costly and should only be
undertaken if the expected benefits outweigh these costs. Moreover, the
evidence from Somalia
suggests that statelessness might sometimes be a viable alternative to
democracy. As Benjamin Powell writes in a
recent Freeman article,
Somalia’s “imperfect anarchy seems to be doing better than the very imperfect
state that preceded it and many of those states it shares a continent with.”
Chris Coyne has
called into question liberal democracy’s viability in failing states on the
grounds that this political form depends on a number of informal institutions
that cannot be designed from on high. I think the confusion regarding democratization
runs even deeper.
Scholars and state
builders do not simply neglect the possibility that democratic institutions
will not stick; they work with a definition of democracy that allows the most
complete failures of democracy to be blamed on autocracy. This confusion gives
the impression that democracy would promote freedom and development if only we
could make it stick. In reality, democratic institutions simply produce poor
outcomes, which sometimes don’t look particularly democratic. Recognition of
this fact should force a re-evaluation of the humanitarian project of
democratization and the desirability of institutional alternatives such as
anarchy.
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