Let us understand that this is a start as it empowers a Taliban leadership that may be able to fully represent Pathan interests. The Afghan government does represent everyone else and it could all be that simple. The defacto default can be those two parties learning how to cooperate.
At the same time benefits can flow for actual positive developments.
At this point, we have created the possibility of real peace. That never actually existed..
If the Taliban meet the conditions of the deal, the U.S. could withdraw its 13,000 troops in the country in a little over a year.
https://www.militarytimes.com/news/your-military/2020/02/29/all-us-troops-to-leave-afghanistan-in-14-months-if-taliban-meets-commitments-of-peace-deal-signed-today/.
DOHA, Qatar — The United States and the Taliban have signed a peace agreement aimed at ending the 18-year war in Afghanistan, America’s longest.
The signing could help President Donald Trump
fulfill a key campaign promise to extract America from its “endless
wars.” Under the agreement, the U.S. will begin withdrawing thousands of
troops in exchange for Taliban commitments to prevent Afghanistan from
being a launchpad for terrorist attacks.
If the Taliban meet their commitments, all U.S. troops would leave in 14 months.
There are about 13,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan,
with that number set to drawdown to about 8,600 in the coming weeks.
Further drawdowns are to depend on the Taliban meeting certain
counter-terrorism conditions, compliance that will be assessed by the
United States.
During a press conference to address the issue of coronavirus, Trump
said troops would start coming home from Afghanistan “today.” Officials
from the Pentagon, U.S. Central Command and Resolute Support
headquarters could not immediately be reached for a response.
Speaking to troops in Kabul, Defense Secretary Mark Esper said meeting
the ultimate drawdown goal depends on what the Taliban do.
“Fully reducing our presence in Afghanistan down to zero — our ultimate
goal — will take many months,” he said. “Even as we drawdown our
forces, our train, advise, and assist efforts will continue, and we will
not hesitate to strike terrorist threats throughout the country as they
emerge.”
Esper added that the U.S. will retain the option to act, if necessary.
“Central to our agreement with the Taliban are measures to prevent the
use of Afghan soil by terrorist groups or other individuals who seek to
harm the United States or our allies. Should that ever become
compromised, we will take all necessary measures to protect our
homelands and our people.”
All told, there have been more than 2,400 U.S. troop deaths and nearly 21,000 troops wounded in action since hostilities began.
“America and its allies have made tremendous sacrifices in pursuit of
these goals, as have the people of Afghanistan,” Esper said earlier at
the joint signing ceremony, according to a transcript provided by the
Pentagon. “We honor our brave service members who have served here,
especially those who have been casualties in this war. And we remember
the innocent civilians lost in this struggle. The ongoing efforts to
achieve a political settlement after many long years of fighting,
reflect a shared desire for a sovereign, unified Afghanistan at peace
with itself and its neighbors.”
Esper met with Afghanistan President Ashraf Ghani ahead of the
U.S.-Afghanistan joint declaration ceremony to discuss progress in the
peace process following the successful implementation of the reduction
in violence.
Esper reaffirmed the U.S. commitment to Afghan partners as the
conditions-based U.S.-Taliban agreement is implemented, and as Afghans
move forward to work towards a permanent and comprehensive ceasefire
during intra-Afghan negotiations, according to a read-out provided by
the Pentagon. Esper also reaffirmed U.S. commitment to the longstanding
security relationship with the government of Afghanistan into the
future.
“Both Secretary Esper and President Ghani agreed that this marks the
beginning of the process to achieve a lasting peace for the Afghan
people, and security and stability in Afghanistan,” according to the
read-out.
Thanking President Donald Trump’s leadership, Esper said “we are
finally making substantial progress toward ending our nation’s longest
war. Today’s release of the Joint Declaration between the Islamic
Republic of Afghanistan and the United States marks a pivotal moment in
the peace process. Our declaration acknowledges the deep bond shared by
Afghan and U.S. forces, and reflects our commitment to working together
to achieve a sustainable negotiated agreement that ends the war, for the
benefit of all Afghans. Central to this agreement are measures to
prevent the use of Afghan soil by terrorist groups or other individuals
who seek to harm the United States or our allies.”
“We
are committed to reducing the violence but will not hesitate to defend
our forces, Coalition forces, or our Afghan partners. Pointless attacks
on checkpoints and needless violence should cease completely."
Esper said that in the week leading up to the signing, “we have observed a significant reduction in violence, which has created the necessary conditions for the United States to approve an agreement with the Taliban.
“We call on the Taliban to abide by their commitments as outlined in
the agreement with the United States, to include maintaining the ongoing
reduction in violence across the country,” said Esper. “As intra-Afghan
negotiations progress, the United States will watch the Taliban’s
actions closely to judge whether their efforts towards peace are in good
faith. If the Taliban uphold the agreement, the United States will
begin a conditions-based reduction in forces.”
The defense secretary said the U.S. “will work with other members of
the coalition to carry out a proportional reduction in troop levels.
However, should the Taliban fail to honor their commitments, they will
forfeit their chance to sit with fellow Afghans and deliberate on the
future of their country. Moreover, the United States would not hesitate
to nullify the agreement.”
Meanwhile, he added, the U.S. and international partners remain
committed to our longstanding security relationship with the government
of Afghanistan.
“For several years now, the Afghan Security Forces have been in the
lead for providing security, and their effectiveness continues to grow.
We will continue to provide them support as necessary to assist in their
defense against internal and external threats to the sovereignty of
Afghanistan.”
President
Donald Trump traveled Monday to Dover Air Force Base in Delaware to pay
respects to two U.S. soldiers killed Saturday in Afghanistan when a
soldier dressed in an Afghan army uniform opened fire with a machine
gun.
Attack on America
President George W. Bush ordered the U.S.-led invasion of Afghanistan
in response to the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks. Some U.S. troops currently
serving there had not yet been born when the World Trade Center
collapsed on that crisp, sunny morning that changed how Americans see
the world.
It only took a few months to topple the Taliban and send Osama bin
Laden and top al-Qaida militants scrambling across the border into
Pakistan, but the war dragged on for years as the United States tried
establish a stable, functioning state in one of the least developed
countries in the world. The Taliban regrouped, and currently hold sway
over half the country.
The U.S. spent more than $750 billion, and on all sides the war cost
tens of thousands of lives lost, permanently scarred and indelibly
interrupted. But the conflict was also frequently ignored by U.S.
politicians and the American public.
U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo attended the ceremony in Qatar,
where the Taliban have a political office, but did not sign the
agreement. Instead, it was signed by U.S. peace envoy Zalmay Khalilzad
and Taliban leader Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar.
The Taliban harbored bin Laden and his al-Qaida network as they
plotted, and then celebrated, the hijackings of four airliners that were
crashed into lower Manhattan, the Pentagon and a field in western
Pennsylvania, killing almost 3,000 people.
Addressing reporters after the signing ceremony, Pompeo said the U.S.
is “realistic” about the peace deal it signed, but is “seizing the best
opportunity for peace in a generation.”
He said he was still angry about the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks and that
the U.S. will not ”squander" what its soldiers “have won through blood,
sweat and tears.” He said the U.S. will do whatever is necessary for its
security if the Taliban do not comply with the agreement.
Pompeo had privately told a conference of U.S. ambassadors at the State
Department this week that he was going only because President Donald
Trump had insisted on his participation, according to two people
present.
Dozens of Taliban members held a small victory march in Qatar in which
they waved the militant group’s white flags, according to a video shared
on Taliban websites. “Today is the day of victory, which has come with
the help of Allah,” said Abbas Stanikzai, one of the Taliban’s lead
negotiators, who joined the march.
Trump has repeatedly promised to get the U.S. out of its “endless wars”
in the Middle East, and the withdrawal of troops could provide a boost
as he seeks re-election in a nation weary of involvement in distant
conflicts.
Trump has approached the Taliban agreement cautiously, steering clear
of the crowing surrounding other major foreign policy actions, such as
his talks with North Korea.
Last September, on short notice, he called off what was to be a signing
ceremony with the Taliban at Camp David after a series of new Taliban
attacks. But he has since been supportive of the talks led by his
special envoy, Zalmay Khalilzad.
Under the agreement, the Taliban promise not to let extremists use the
country as a staging ground for attacking the U.S. or its allies. But
U.S. officials are loath to trust the Taliban to fulfill their
obligations.
Uncertain future
The prospects for Afghanistan’s future are uncertain. The agreement
sets the stage for peace talks involving Afghan factions, which are
likely to be complicated. Under the agreement, 5,000 Taliban are to be
released from Afghan-run jails, but it’s not known if the Afghan
government will do that. There are also questions about whether militias
loyal to various warlords will be willing to disarm.
It's not clear what will become of gains made in women's rights since
the toppling of the Taliban, which had repressed women and girls under a
strict brand of Sharia law. Women's rights in Afghanistan had been a
top concern of both the Bush and Obama administration, but it remains a
deeply conservative country, with women still struggling for basic
rights.
Nearly
half of all Afghans want U.S. and NATO troops to leave Afghanistan once
a peace deal to end the country’s 18-year war is signed with the
Taliban, according to a survey released Thursday.
There are currently more than 16,500 soldiers serving under the NATO
banner, of which 8,000 are American. Germany has the next largest
contingent, with 1,300 troops, followed by Britain with 1,100.
In all, 38 NATO countries are contributing forces to Afghanistan. The
alliance officially concluded its combat mission in 2014 and now
provides training and support to Afghan forces.
The U.S. has a separate contingent of 5,000 troops deployed to carry
out counter-terrorism missions and provide air and ground support to
Afghan forces when requested.
Since the start of negotiations with the Taliban, the U.S. has stepped up its air assaults on the Taliban
as well as a local Islamic State affiliate. Last year the U.S. air
force dropped more bombs on Afghanistan than in any year since 2013.
Seven days ago, the Taliban began a seven-day “reduction of violence" period, a prerequisite to the peace deal signing.
Col.
Sonny Leggett, a spokesman for U.S. Forces Afghanistan, tweeted early
Thursday morning that airstrikes on Wednesday killed three ISIS fighters
in Kunar Province and forced 34 ISIS militants to surrender to Afghan
forces in Tswokey district.
“We have seen a significant reduction in violence in Afghanistan over
the last days, and therefore we are also very close to the signing of an
agreement between the United States and the Taliban,” NATO Secretary
General Jens Stoltenberg said Friday in Brussels.
“The road to peace will be long and hard and there will be setbacks,
and there is a risk always for spoilers," Stoltenberg said. “But the
thing is, we are committed, the Afghan people are committed to peace,
and we will continue to provide support.”
Gannon
reported from Kabul, Afghanistan. Associated Press writers Rahim Faiez
in Kabul, Lorne Cook in Brussels and Joseph Krauss in Jerusalem
contributed.
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