I think it is starting to register just how much oil exists. What
was scarce was neat sandstones to trap some of it for our ease of
use. Now we are able to tap any oil saturated geology with long
horizontals that are fracked the entire length.
Here we learn that the Permian is viable and that they are now
drilling like crazy. 400 rigs is huge and that means every round of
development will add 400 productive wells making one thousand barrels
a day or approaching half a million barrels. We now know why the
Bakken grew its production so fast.
The big take home is that the USA will be able to now add a million
barrels per day of production and sustain it on a yearly basis.
This also tells me that north America can be oil independent by 2020.
This is stunningly quick. It is always one thing to know it is
theoretically possible but quite another to see it happen. I have
always been a commodities bull when it came to replacement speed. It
always looks almost impossible on the surface but one never knows all
the available solutions. Metal mining has been on a tear and now oil
in North America.
This must break OPEC.
Discovered: 17
Bakkens Stacked On Top of One Another
By Brian Hicks |
Thursday, March 14th, 2013
At around 6 o'clock on the morning of May 28, 1923, an oil well
named after the patron saint of the impossible blew.
According to official state records in Texas, between 1917 and
1919, more than 5,000 drilling permits were issued for the Permian
Basin. However, no exploration occurred... until August 23, 1921,
when — just four hours before its permit was set to expire — the
Santa Rita No. 1 was spudded.
For the next 50 years,
the legendary Permian Basin dominated the world.
It has pumped out 35
billion barrels since Santa Rita No. 1 started spewing.
The field peaked in
production between 1973 and 1974, as predicted by Shell geologist M.
King Hubbert.
When the Permian
peaked, it marked the end of American oil domination and ushered in
OPEC. And for the next 40 years, OPEC would have a stranglehold
on the world's energy economy.
Thanks to the revolution in hydraulic fracturing, the Permian is
expected to regain its stature in the global oil market. It is set to
become the king.
"That would be the equivalent of 10 Eagle Ford shales stacked
on top of each other. It's 17 Bakkens placed on top of one another."
The industry-respected, Houston-based Hart Energy Magazine
says: "There's just oil all over the place," and estimates
the field could produce more than 1.65 million barrels of oil per day
within seven years.
At that daily production, this single oilfield would produce
nearly four times more oil than OPEC member Ecuador. It would
represent 66% of all of Mexico's oil production (at its current
rate)!
It's a modern-day black gold rush. And it's the hottest play in
America — hotter than California's Monterey... hotter than
Texas' Eagle Ford... and even hotter than North Dakota's booming
Bakken.
In fact, as you read
this, the field I'm talking about has over 400 drill rigs currently
operating in it. To give you an idea of how much that is, it accounts
for 10% of all drilling rigs currently in operation on the planet.
If you haven't heard
of the Cline Shale, it is a monster: Lying roughly 1.8 miles below
the surface of the Permian, the Cline runs about 140 miles from north
to south and 70 miles wide. So it's approximately 9,800 square miles
in size.
Devon Energy was one of the first companies in the Cline Shale. A
recent study from Devon estimated the Cline Shale contains 3.6
million barrels of recoverable oil per square mile.
Let's do the math on
that one: 9,800 sq. miles x 3,600,000 = 35 billion barrels of oil.
That's a gross
resource value of $3 trillion at today's WTI price of $91 per barrel.
It's a resource treasure for the United States, plain and simple.
With Devon's estimate of 3.6 million barrels per square mile, it
exceeds the Bakken and Eagle Ford by nearly 50%.
The Eagle Ford pay zone is 20 to 35 feet thick; the Bakken is 10
to 25 feet thick... but the Cline is estimated to be anywhere from
200 to 550 feet thick. It's enormous.
And the Cline resides inside the legendary, prolific Permian
Basin, which to date has pumped out some 35 billion barrels of oil
from multiple pay zones.
With the price of oil
spurring activity, the Permian rig count has increased nearly 339%
since April 2009, from 92 to 404 at the end of January.
No comments:
Post a Comment