This is surely a solar driven phenomena that has simply not been
observed yet. The fact that it occurred in historic times and that
carbon 14 variability begs a better explanation anyway, suggests that
it is linked in some ways to solar flares. How about a direct hit
from a solar flare? The apparent frequency fits nicely. That would
be rare but also not impossible.
Sooner or later, one of our space craft is going to pass through a
solar flare and we will then perhaps have a clearer understanding of
what occurs. I suggest that we send up all craft with selected
sensors and communication equipment that is properly hardened against
such an indicated event.
Somehow we need to track tree ring data much further back than has
been achieved and we need to locate similar events as key markers
that can allow us to anchor our dates. At the moment it is enough to
know that it happened once and that we may want to be more careful
around solar flares than anticipated so far.
A solar flare may be able to produce a magnetic acceleration tube
that concentrates charged particles. This would be a real solar
storm.
Mysterious
radiation burst recorded in tree rings
Spike in carbon-14
levels indicates a massive cosmic event — but supernovae and solar
flares ruled out.
Richard A. Lovett
03 June 2012
Auroras are seen when
bursts of charged particles hit Earth's atmosphere — but there is
no record of these occurring at the same time as the 14C
increase in tree rings.©NASA
Just over 1,200 years
ago, the planet was hit by an extremely intense burst of high-energy
radiation of unknown cause, scientists studying tree-ring data have
found.
The
radiation burst, which seems to have hit between ad 774
and ad 775, was detected by looking at the amounts of the
radioactive isotope carbon-14 in tree rings that formed during
the ad 775 growing season in the Northern Hemisphere. The
increase in 14C levels is so clear that the scientists, led by
Fusa Miyake, a cosmic-ray physicist from Nagoya University in Japan,
conclude that the atmospheric level of 14C must have jumped
by 1.2% over the course of no longer than a year, about 20 times more
than the normal rate of variation. Their study is published online
in Nature today1.
"The work looks
pretty solid," says Daniel Baker, a space physicist at the
University of Colorado's Laboratory for Atmospheric and Space Physics
in Boulder, Colorado. "Some very energetic event occurred in
about ad775."
Exactly what that
event was, however, is more difficult to determine.
The 14C isotope
is formed when highly energetic radiation from outer space hits atoms
in the upper atmosphere, producing neutrons. These collide with
nitrogen-14, which then decays to 14C. (The fact that this is
always happening because of background radiation is what produces a
continuous source of 14C for radiocarbon dating.)
Cosmic puzzle
The only known events
that can produce a 14C spike are floods of γ-rays from
supernova explosions or proton storms from giant solar flares. But
neither seems likely, Miyake says, because each should have been
large enough to have had other effects that would have been observed
at the time.
A massive supernova,
for example, should have been bright enough to produce a 'new' star
visible even in the daytime, as was the case for two known supernovae
in ad 1006 and ad 1054. Such an explosion would
have needed to be brighter than either of these, Miyake says, because
those events were not large enough to leave traces in the 14C
record.
It is possible, she
says, that the proposed event might have occurred in the far southern
skies, where astronomers of the era wouldn't have seen it. But still,
she says, if it did happen, today's X-ray and radio astronomers
should have found signs of a "tremendously bright" remnant
of the explosion.
As for solar flares,
she says, anything that could have produced the required amount of
super-high-energy protons would have vastly exceeded the most intense
solar outburst ever recorded. There should have been a historical
record of extraordinary auroras — not to mention that such a
gigantic flare would probably have destroyed the ozone layer, with
devastating ecological consequences.
Baker, however, thinks that Miyake's team may have been too quick to rule out a solar flare. Flares are sometimes associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) — huge eruptions of magnetically charged plasma from the Sun's atmosphere that send streams of charged particles towards Earth. It might be possible, he says, for CMEs to be accompanied by conditions in which an unusual number of protons are accelerated to super-high energies, even without the flare itself being "ridiculously strong".
Baker, however, thinks that Miyake's team may have been too quick to rule out a solar flare. Flares are sometimes associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) — huge eruptions of magnetically charged plasma from the Sun's atmosphere that send streams of charged particles towards Earth. It might be possible, he says, for CMEs to be accompanied by conditions in which an unusual number of protons are accelerated to super-high energies, even without the flare itself being "ridiculously strong".
"We know much
more these days about how important proton acceleration is at the
shock fronts that precede CME structures as they propagate towards
Earth," Baker says. "I would like to think about whether a
strong CME moving directly towards Earth could have produced the
intense proton population that impacted Earth's atmosphere."
"It would be
fascinating," Baker adds, "if there were some record in
China or in the Middle East that reported powerful aurora or some
other such event" around the same time as the observed 14C
increase.
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