However you wish to interpret this, Egypt and Israel are now
defacto allies and they are engaged in a full out effort to crush the Islamist
cause once and for all. I understood
that this was final when they cancelled all teaching certificates of Islamism
teachers in the schools and madrassas.
They are clearly determined to cleanly secularize Egypt in much the same
way as Ataturk. So this is certainly
huge and amazingly enough it is good news for the rise of a seclar democracy in
Egypt much sooner than anyone expects.
Eliminate political Islam and the rest will have a healthy
squabble and sort things out. The generals
have clearly figured all that out and know that their own legitimacy will rest
on a return to the barracks after thus war is over.
In the meantime, the Israeli peace treaty is effectively been
reaffirmed by the military in the best way possible and that is with the
destruction of the influence of Hamas as well.
Destroying the Muslim brotherhood in both body and in terms of
popular support is been achieved. After
all when they took power, they chose to behave badly and not do a thing to
properly maintain security and address economic issues. The people were back on the streets when the
army dropped the hammer.
Ties between
Israel and Egypt only getting stronger, despite regional tension
The two nations enjoy not only
tactical cooperation, but a convergence of strategic interests as well.
By Amos Harel | Sep.
8, 2013 | 8:43 AM
One of the outcomes of the
military coup in Egypt is the
stronger bond between Cairo and Jerusalem. Although the two nations want to
keep their warmer relationship under wraps, it is hard to ignore the fact that
they enjoy not only tactical cooperation the ground, but also a convergence of
strategic interests. Considering the dramatic chain of events in Egypt since
2011, it is very hard to predict the coming months, but at least in the short term,
Israel’s security situation on its southern and western fronts has seen a major
change for the better.
The change actually
started in Washington D.C. in July. According to the American press, Israel went to great
lengths to smooth things out between the new Egyptian regime and the United
States. For the Egyptian generals it was very important that the regime change
not be labeled a military coup. In that event, American law would make illegal
the yearly $3.5 billion in aid to Egypt, most of which goes toward the
military.
Even though the events in
Cairo were a coup in every sense of the word, it seems that it was in the
American administration's interests to prevent that term from being applied.
Israel and its supporters, mainly on Capitol Hill, also played a part.
The Egyptian generals
knew how to show their gratitude and Israel is pleased with operations against
terror in Sinai and Hamas in Gaza.
Egyptian pressure on Hamas has
meant it will not dare even think about firing rockets at Israel or allowing
smaller Palestinian factions to do so. The Hamas leadership in Gaza, still
surprised and bruised by the violent and effective way the leaders of their
sister movement, the Muslim Brotherhood,
were deposed in Cairo, are careful to obey.
Before relations with Egypt
cooled, Hamas (inspired by the Muslim Brotherhood in Cairo) stepped out from
under the influence of Iran and Syria, and denounced Syrian President Bashar
Assad’s civil war. As a result, the flow of money and weapons to Gaza from Iran
ceased. Hamas now finds itself at a loss on all fronts.
Over the past few weeks Egypt
has shut down most of the hundreds of smuggling tunnels under the Rafah border
between Egypt and Gaza, and has stopped the transfer of fuel to the Gaza Strip,
which means that instead of receiving subsidized fuel from Egypt, Hamas now has
to import fuel, at six times the cost, from Israel. Gaza residents can only
cross into Egypt via the Rafah border for a few hours every day.
Meanwhile, Egypt is releasing
a great deal of information, at least some of which appears untrue, about supposed
assistance Hamas and smaller Palestinian groups in the Gaza Strip are rendering
to Islamist terror groups in Sinai. In Sinai itself, Egypt is operating
aggressively against terror cells, most of whose members are Bedouins. More
than 100 activists have been killed and hundreds of others have been arrested
there since last month, and the number of attempted terror attacks against
Israel has declined.
Israel has allowed Egypt to
exceed the number of its troops, tanks and helicopters in Sinai as stipulated
in the Israel-Egypt peace treaty, so it can more effectively fight terror. The
Egyptians have also stopped Gaza fishing boats they caught in Egypt’s
territorial waters off Sinai.
In Egypt itself
the generals are fighting for their lives, and anything goes. An attempt last week was made on the life of the Egyptian
interior minister, who is in charge of internal security, apparently by
Islamist groups. Fearing further retribution by the military regime, the Muslim
Brotherhood was quick to deny responsibility for the attack, in which 23
passersby were injured by a large car bomb. Local media intimated that Hamas
may have had a hand in the attack, which is doubtful, but serves to restrain
Hamas in Gaza.
The regime has also arrested
thousands of Muslim Brotherhood activists, including former ministers. It has
shut down the movement’s newspapers, and has imposed limitations on the
Al-Jazeera network, considered sympathetic to the Brotherhood.
Pictures of former President Hosni Mubarak have
been put up in the streets and Mubarak himself has been transferred to better
prison conditions. After all, most of the generals now in power were formerly
his men.
The Egyptian Interior Ministry
has granted internal security personnel virtually unmonitored and the right to
shoot protesters. Brotherhood protests have gradually declined, as General
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi seeks to impose the fear of the regime on the street.
Thus, he pushes the Brotherhood and its affiliated movements into underground
terror actions.
In addition to the aid from
Washington which continues to flow, Egypt has also received aid from Saudi
Arabia and the Emirates and Kuwait, with pledges amounting to $12 billion.
Meanwhile, the first overtures of reconciliation with Qatar, friend of the
Muslim Brotherhood, have been seen with Qatar sending Egypt three ships bearing
liquid gas.
Against the backdrop of
improved relations with Egypt Jordan’s King Abdullah has refrained over the
past year from accusing Israel of obstructing peace with the Palestinians. We
may assume that shared strategic interests are behind this change, along with
U.S. aid to Jordan.
In the new Middle
East, everything seems temporary, and it is hard to know whether this is a
start of a wonderful friendship. But it certainly may be said that new alliances and power arrays have
emerged from the http://www.haaretz.com/misc/tags/Arab%20Spring-1.476711Arab
Spring.
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