Chinese Population Collapse

 Chinese Population Collapse

I really should have understood this back in 1980, but i was not paying close attention and certainly did not think that the CCP would sustain the one child policy for forty years.  Yet here we are and better late than never.

Let us understand what happened.  In 1980, they had a population of 800,000,000 or so assuming that they were not lying by too much.  That poulation was then mandated to only produce 400,000,000 replacement.  which they did.  however the next generation would then only produce 200,000,000 replacements and this takes us to 2020.  The original stock was mostly alive until 2020 and normal death rates applied.  Except the 200,000,000 who smoked would have then bowed out about then.  

However you wish to play with the numbers we are experiencing a 200,000,000 population  fall off which will be additionally extended through the next twenty years for an additional 200,000,000 and so on.  This folks is a population titanic.  The rest of the world has a real population problem but we also have some time to fix it.  These guys do not..

what we see today is a chinese population built out for 800,000,000 having abruptly collapsed to a population of 600,000,000.  This will naturally empty the stores and restaurants.  We have a super surplus of infrastructure no longer necessary.

what the pandemic did was accelerate the overall death rate and got us there sooner.  Sadly this will now continue as the 1980 generation bows out.

Understand that China's future is a population likely stabalizing around 200,000,000 and their only immediate fix will be to bring in mass immigration from all of south Eaxt Asia.  otherwise they will be surrounded by the ruins of empire.  fortunately India and south East Asia is actually up for it and even able to establish better operational birthrates.

In the short term all global populations have to establish a new protcol for baby production that certainly starts now at four manadatory babies and full community support for motherhood.

I now expect that the CHINA shock will sort out everyones thinking and allow us all to establish sound practise.