I have no doubt that organic food will dominate inside of twenty years and that will be just about as fast as is possible. I though at least twice that length of time, but the news is increasingly bad for GMO. That is going to die now in a rout.
The public is aware and unsupported lying is no longer enough. Add in the increasing need for true sustainability and soon real social change and we have a perfect storm for agriculture.
This though is possibly the year that is the tipping point. Critical mass has been achieved and the growth rate is now rapid as farmers decide to shift over.
US Organic Food Industry Is Celebrating Success, but Is That What the Numbers Say?
By Annie Wu, Epoch Times | April 17, 2015
http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/1324819-us-organic-food-industry-is-celebrating-success-but-is-that-what-the-numbers-say/
The Organic Trade Association
announced this week that the organic food industry in the United States
is nearing a record 5 percent of the country’s total food market—a new
milestone. “Throughout America, folks can’t get enough of organic,” the
OTA press release starts.
Sales of organic food products reached a new high in 2014, totaling
$35.9 billion, which represents an 11 percent increase from the previous
year.
But despite the increases, growth in the organic food industry has been incremental.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA), the agency charged with
overseeing organic food production and processing in the country,
reported that although they do not keep official statistics on organic
food sales, industry data shows its share of the entire food market “has
been remarkably stable over the last decade.”
In 2011, organic food sales reached 4 percent of the market share,
according to the USDA. It grew to over 4 percent in 2012, and is headed
toward 5 percent this year.
OTA’s survey of the organic industry found that “organic doesn’t have
any demographic boundaries.” Organic product sale increases (including
non-food items) were across the board, whether by ethnic background or
geographic region.
The demographic of organic product consumers generally reflected the
racial makeup of the country, with 73 percent of them being white (about
78 percent of the country’s population, according to the latest census
data), 16 percent Hispanic (17 percent of population), and 14 percent
being black (13 percent of population).
The West Coast and New England had the highest percentage of
households that bought some kind of organic product in the past year, at
almost 90 percent.
Organic fruits and vegetables are the biggest selling product,
totaling $13 billion, whereas organic dairy products reached $5.46
billion. In 2014, organic non-food products had the biggest sales
increase in the past six years, with organic textile fibers and personal
care products dominating, according to the Trade Association’s annual
survey.
This week, the USDA also announced that the number of U.S. businesses
they have certified as organic reached a record number of 19,474, which
is an over 250 percent increase from when the regulating agency began
such certifications in 2002.
A business is certified organic if it does not use synthetic
fertilizers, prohibited pesticides, or genetically modified crops. In
terms of raising livestock, the business must meet certain animal
welfare standards, not use antibiotics or growth hormones, use 100
percent organic feed, and provide animals with access to outdoors,
according to the USDA’s rules.
Consumers have cited multiple reasons for why they buy organic food,
including the perception that it is healthier, more sustainable for the
environment, and safer to eat. The trend of buying organic products
emerged following decades of GMO (genetically modified
organisms) cultivation, and heavy pesticide and fertilizer use within
American agriculture.Scientific advances made synthetic chemicals and
high-yield crop varieties widespread to farmers around the world during
the 1960s, an innovation known as the “Green Revolution.”
By the 1970s, though, American environmental activists began calling
for an end to using harmful pesticides in farming. In 1990, the U.S.
Congress passed the Organic Foods Production Act, which
established federal standards and a certification process for organic
farming practices.
Today, 45 percent of Americans actively try to include organic foods in their diets, according to a recent Gallup poll. Fifteen percent actively avoid organic foods, while 38 percent said they didn’t care either way.
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