Of course it was. Every natural community will calve when it passes 150 or so members to make way for the incoming generation. Inside two generations the calved community will do the same. The average distance apart is not small either to avoid conflict, but still allow occasional contact and exchange. That average has to be around fifty miles or so.
It is around 8,000 miles from Alaska to Chile along the west coast. That indicates around 160 cycles of calving to do this. That would be the almost necessary calving to avoid conflict and is really an upper bound of the time frame of human expansion. At say fifty years that works out to about a mile per year and again that it likely the slowest rate of expansion.
Yet by definition all these peoples were initially nomadic in nature and entering a country with no population resistance allows one to continuously advance to the next happy hunting ground while heading south. Thus it is no particular trick to travel most of a thousand miles in a single season. A calving community could well choose to do this.
Thus the lower bound is actually around dozen carvings or less than a thousand years. The evidence suggest something more like that. Of course, then it would still take several thousands of years to produce area coverage.
The Extremely Fast Peopling of the Americas
Two genetic studies show how the first Native Americans spread through their new continent with incredible speed.
Ed Yong
A skull from Lagoa Santa, Brazil. Natural History Museum of Denmark.
https://getpocket.com/explore/item/the-extremely-fast-peopling-of-the-americas
Tens of thousands of years ago, two gigantic ice
sheets smothered the northernmost parts of what has since been named
North America. They towered more than two kilometers high and contained 1.5 times as much water
as Antarctica does today. They were daunting, impassable barriers to
the early humans who had started moving east from Asia, walking across a
land bridge that once connected the regions now known as Russia and
Alaska. But once the ice started to melt, these peoples—the ancestors of
the Americas’ Indigenous groups—spread southward into new lands.
What happened next?
Genetic studies,
based on ancient remains, had already suggested that once the first
American Indians got south of the ice, 14,600 to 17,500 years ago, they
split into two main branches. One stayed north, giving rise to the
Algonquian-speaking peoples of Canada. The other headed south, giving
rise to the widespread Clovis culture, and to Central and South
Americans. That’s a very rough outline, but a new study from J. Víctor Moreno-Mayar and his colleagues fleshes it out. They showed that whatever happened south of the ice, it happened fast.
They sequenced the genomes of 15 ancient humans,
who came from sites ranging all the way from Alaska to Patagonia. One
person from Spirit Cave in Nevada and five from Lagoa Santa in Brazil
were especially instructive. They were all just over 10,000 years old,
and though they lived 6,300 miles apart, they were strikingly similar in
their DNA. Genetically, they were also closely matched to Anzick-1—a famous Clovis infant from Montana, who was about 2,000 years older.
All this suggests that, about 14,000 years ago,
the southern lineage of early American Indians spread through the
continent with blinding speed. To picture their movements, don’t think
of a slowly growing tree, incrementally sending out new branches and
twigs. Instead, imagine a starburst, with many rays zooming out
simultaneously and rapidly.
In a matter of centuries, these people had gone
down both sides of the Rockies, across the Great Basin, and into
Mexico’s highlands. Within a couple more millennia, they had zipped down
the Andes, through the Amazon, and as far south as the continent
allowed. “Once they were south of the ice, they found a territory that
was open, vast, and full of resources,” says Moreno-Mayar, who is based
at the University of Copenhagen. “They were adept hunter-gatherers, so
they expanded very quickly.”
This pattern confirms the suspicions of
archaeologists, whose finds had long suggested that humans suddenly
appeared throughout the Americas, from about 13,000 years ago onward.
“You can now see that in the genetics,” Moreno-Mayar says.
Coincidentally, a second group of researchers,
fronted by Cosimo Posth of the Max Planck Institute for the Science of
Human History, independently found the same pattern.
They studied the DNA of 49 ancient humans from Central and South
America and found similar evidence for a rapid starburst expansion, and a
southward migration that connects the Clovis culture of the north to
early peoples in Belize, Brazil, and Chile.
These studies show that the histories of the
Americas are more complicated than earlier genetic studies suggested,
says Deborah Bolnick,
an anthropologist from the University of Connecticut. But that’s more
because those studies were overly simplistic to begin with rather than
because the new results are surprising. “Many lines of evidence,
including archaeological research, linguistic data, and Indigenous
histories, have suggested that multiple groups of people—related,
descended from shared ancestors, but still distinct—have lived, moved,
and interacted in the Americas over the millennia,” she says. “Broadly,
that is what these [new] studies show.”
They’re not just reinventing the wheel, though. For example, the tools of the Clovis people were so different
from those found at Spirit Cave (which lies on the other side of the
Rockies) that some researchers took them as evidence that the Americas
were peopled by two genetically distinct founding groups. Moreno-Mayar
and his colleagues have disproved that idea: They showed that the two
groups were genetically similar, if culturally distinct.
Both teams also found evidence of later waves of
migration that took place long after the Americas had been initially
peopled—although the details differ between the two studies. Posth’s
data point to a second wave of people who entered South America about
9,000 years ago, whose genes displaced those of the earlier
Clovis-related people, and who had a direct connection to Indigenous
groups today. By contrast, Moreno-Mayar’s data speak to a gentler
process, in which relatively small groups slowly spread both north and
south from Mexico from 8,000 years ago, adding their genes to the local
populations without swamping them. Either way, they “challenge the idea
that present-day native peoples all descend from a single, homogenous
ancestral population,” says Maria Nieves-Colón, a geneticist based in Mexico’s LANGEBIO institute.
The two studies also differ on a particularly
puzzling and controversial result. Back in 2015, the leaders of both Posth’s and Moreno-Mayar’s teams found that today’s Indigenous Amazonians share small hints of ancestry with people from Australia and Papua New Guinea—places on the other side of the Pacific.
In their new study, Moreno-Mayar’s team found that same tantalizing
smidgen of Australasian ancestry in the 10,400-year-old remains from
Lagoa Santa in Brazil, but in none of the other remains they tested.
“Every explanation that we can come up with for that is less plausible
than the last,” says Moreno-Mayar.
If people with Australasian ancestry somehow
entered the Americas before the early American Indians, how did they get
into Brazil without leaving any trace in North America, either
genetically or archaeologically? If they entered after the
first American Indians did, how did they get from Alaska to Brazil
seemingly without interacting with anyone else? If they sailed across
the entire Pacific, after hypothetically inventing seafaring technology millennia before the Polynesians, how did they cross the Andes and traverse the Amazon?
It doesn’t help that Posth’s team didn’t find
any Australasian DNA among their ancient remains, including ones from
the same region of Brazil. It could be that people from that area were
very diverse—or that the Australasian signal is a mistake. “The only way
to get a better answer is to do more studies on other ancient samples,”
adds Moreno-Mayar.
Those studies are surely coming. The analysis of
DNA from ancient bones is a booming field of science, with splashy new
discoveries emerging on a monthly basis. But such studies can harm
Indigenous communities with ties to ancestral remains, by undermining
repatriation claims and other legal disputes, damaging their identities
by contradicting their histories, or increasing stigma by revealing
susceptibility to disease. Despite these risks, Indigenous communities
have been repeatedly shut out of research that involves their ancient
relatives. The genome of the Ancient One, an 8,500-year-old skeleton
found in Kennewick, Washington, was studied against the wishes of Columbia Plateau tribes, who wanted his remains repatriated and reburied. In 2017, remains were removed from Chaco Canyon without consulting any native peoples.
Many Indigenous scientists and their allies have
now begun pressuring their peers to seek permission from tribes before
any work is done, to involve them in research, and to share results. In
2018, two manifestos outlining these practices were published in major journals. And researchers are listening. In 2015, I attended a discussion on this topic
at a major genetics conference, in a mostly empty room with a few dozen
people. In 2018, a similar session was so popular that it spilled into
an overflow room—and packed that, too.
That change is becoming apparent in new
published work. Posth’s paper, for example, includes an ethics statement
before describing the study’s results. “More than any other
project I’ve been involved in, we paid a lot of attention to interacting
with communities, curators, and local organizations,” he tells me.
Moreno-Mayar’s team also took the criticisms
over past missteps to heart. Before studying the 10,600-year-old mummy
from Spirit Cave, Eske Willerslev, the team leader, sought permission
from the Fallon Paiute-Shoshone Tribe, which had cultural affiliation
with the remains. The tribe members initially refused, and Willerslev
accepted their decision. But they changed their minds because they
realized that a genetic study could solve the long-running legal debate
regarding the remains.
The Spirit Cave mummy—a 40-something man—was
found by two archaeologists in the 1940s and had been kept in a Nevada
museum. The tribe wanted him repatriated; the federal government refused
after some academics argued, based on the shape of his skull, that he
wasn’t related to contemporary American Indians. After Willerslev’s
analysis disproved that, the skeleton was returned to the tribe in 2016
and privately reburied. Throughout the process, members of the tribe
flew to Copenhagen, oversaw the work, and—most important for
Moreno-Mayar—taught the geneticists about their culture. Such steps
aren’t just about ticking an ethical checklist, he says, but “about
trying to understand other ways of seeing the world.”
The team also joined forces with members of
other Indigenous communities to study different sets of remains. The
supplement that accompanies its paper contains letters of support. Two
tribal leaders are co-authors on the paper, which represents their
status as partners-in-research rather than just gatekeepers of
permission. “[The team has] made a sincere effort to connect with
Indigenous communities,” says Nieves-Colón.
“We still have a long way to go, but it’s great to see the trend
shifting toward ethical consultations being the norm, not the
exception.”
Agustín Fuentes,
an anthropologist at the University of Notre Dame, is particularly
impressed with Moreno-Mayar’s study, which he says shows a deeper
attempt to rectify the problematic practices of the past. “It front-ends
Indigenous participation and centers it on the peoples of the Americas
rather than the peopling of the Americas,” he says. He means
that the paper gives agency to the ancient individuals it describes
instead of simply distilling them into abstract concepts of “gene flow.”
It’s the kind of subtle difference that reflects genuine engagement
with Indigenous groups—as does the styling of the word Indigenous.
“Any object can be indigenous, but people or groups of people should be
capitalized,” says Krystal Tsosie, an American Indian geneticist at the
Vanderbilt School of Medicine. “It’s a small but important detail.”
The ethical situation is harder to parse in
South America, where there are often no tribal communities who claim
kinship with a given set of remains; in such cases, the two teams
contacted local government officials. “This can be problematic when
government agencies are unmotivated to provide good stewardship over
ancient remains, especially if their own policies toward present-day
Indigenous communities are questionable,” says Tsosie. Those communities
“don’t have the same protections as the sovereign tribal nations of the
United States, [and] it is up to scientists to not exploit lax policies
in other countries as a means of circumventing ethical practices.”
Keolu Fox,
a Native Hawaiian at the University of California, San Diego, would
also prefer Indigenous scientists to take charge of this field
themselves. “We want to create some kind of infrastructure where our
communities benefit from this work,” he says. “The new standard should
be letting Indigenous people tell their own stories.”
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