Tuesday, September 30, 2025

Maximum Strategic Vulnerability For Russia




Retire Vladimir Please.  A nice remote Ranch in Argentina looks pretty good.  You are 72 and it is time.

 I have been waiting for Russia to call off its assault on the Ukaraine from its first days when the original plan collapsed so spectacularly.  Russian failures called for an immediate reappraisal of everything and this can only be done when the fighting is paused or stopped.  Yet Russian strategy is to contnue throwing men and equipment forward expecting a better outcome.

Ukrainian Strategy is necessarily one of defense and maximising Russian losses.  They have now become terribly good at this and have fully integrated drone operations against hardware and even individual soldiers. now.

russia did not achieve blitzkeig conditions in the first place and that is certainly impossible now.  Neither has the Ukraine, but they do not have to.

The strategic problem is that Russia has lost all of its equipment at this point simply because of their strategy of wastage of men and hardware.  What this means is that NATO forces congregating on the GAP in Poland can launch an offensive under massive drone cover into western Russia against Moscow itself. The drones can be operated by Ukrainian specialists by the way.  I see no way for russia to stop this and current deployments including the massive movement of the US airforce from the USA into Poland just now happening tells me that this is getting set up.

Failure to strategically compromise forces an operation to decapitate the Russian leadership as a strategic response.  combined with massive comms, now possible, and Russian citizens will stand down while this happens.

Neutralizing the nuclear threat has to be part of the strategic plan but i also suspect that this is doable.  That still means preventing tactical nucs reaching the front.  Understand that such blasts also make your own forces deeply affected.

Artillery doctrine has held Ukrainian forces at bay.  This is likely to be quickly destroyed by the USAF if they have much left.

Was the real purpose of the STUPID TRADE WAR to set the STAGE for CANADA to form a Global Fair trade and Trust Confederation FTTC? that makes military adventurism unthinkable?  Such a confederation can operate easily over a network of bilateral arrangements while coallesing against bad behavior as a given response.  Thousands of bilateral arrangement provide real teeth when problems arise such as we are witnessing today.

understand that the insane aluminium tariff sets the stage for the entire aluminium manufacturing industry to upsticks and move to Canada or Mexico or now all of Europe.  You know that this Trade WAr must end and soon, but that is a taste of what is on the table.

This WAR must end in Moscow.  The question now is how?  Afterwards, all successor states join NATO and a NATO force protects the Far East and the Southern Flank.  And time should resolve both threats.


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