It is easy in the haste and noise to take the Islamic threat
seriously. This article reminds of the reality of the situation.
Failure to modernize merely means postponement of the inevitable as
populations escape through immigration and potential integration into
a secular life way.
Modernization, sooner than later means equality of women and freedom
of religion. In that environment, Islam is at a proven disadvantage.
For that reason alone, Christianity as a movement can easily afford
to be patient.
More critically, Christianity happens to be world view that is been
adopted everywhere else with actual conversion almost an
afterthought. We particularly see this happen in china as it passes
from Confucius through Marxism which is at best a Christian heresy
onto a neochristian mindset of modernism and significant outright
conversion. You will note that Islam is no where to be seen in all
this.
A remarkable comment was apparently made at a recent session of top
party leaders in china in which the outgoing leader stated that the
one decree that he could make that would be accepted without any
significant resistance would be one in which he declared Christianity
to be the state religion. This tells us that in one century flat,
that Christianity has evangelized the whole of China a well as
Africa.
As a global religion, Christianity has entered the end game in which
outright momentum will erode the Islamic dream as it has this past
century. However couched, Islamic barbarism is been confronted
everywhere both externally but way more critically internally with
the Arab Spring. Yes it is hard to tell, but Islamic
authoritarianism has suddenly been trumped. It will become
impossible for Arab armies to ever march if not true already.
At the same time, a rational case can be made in science as to the
truth of the resurrection of Jesus and by inference the validity of
his dispensation delivered from GOD. This opens the door for the
conversion of Judaism. That shock would shift the hearts of Muslims
generally and open the door there for mass conversions also. Since a
large proportion of the Muslim population was Christian by ancestry,
a crack will turn into a rout once everyone understands there is no
way to stop it.
The continuous rise of Christianity is really one of the most
astonishing stories of history itself that could never have been
imagined. Modern communication now has made the advance universal
and a true octopus in real time.
As this item makes clear, Islam is actually in collapse throughout
Sub Saharan Africa and has to be profoundly vulnerable in India.
These are the two regions in which live borders exist and both are
active in terms of missionary work.
World’s most
populous faith
Lawrence Solomon Dec
21, 2012
Islam won’t overtake Christianity
With traditional
churches in North America and Europe struggling to fill their pews,
with atheism on the upsurge and Islam still growing, it is easy to
see Christianity as a spent force, fading in relevance to both
modernity and Islamic ascendancy.
This view is mistaken.
Short-lived setbacks aside, Christianity unambiguously continues the
two-millennia-long ascendancy that has made it the world’s most
populous faith by far, and that has rewarded the nations that
embraced its values with prosperity. Christianity shows no sign of
losing its paramountcy, especially since Islam — its long-standing
competitor — has never been an economic contender and will soon
have peaked in population.
Stats released this
week from the Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life show
Christianity’s dominance through the raw numbers of adherents.
Almost one-third of the globe’s population — 2.2 billion people —
describe themselves as Christian, 600 million more than the world’s
Muslims, at 1.6 billion, and 1.2 billion more than the world’s
Hindus, at one billion the third-largest among the faiths. Apart from
raw numbers, however, lies unparalleled long-lived accomplishment.
Christian Byzantium,
the dazzling successor to the Roman Empire, for 1,000 years was the
most affluent on Earth, until it fell to the Ottoman Turks in 1453.
Then Christian Europe emerged as a power, soon transcending all
others in the arts, in the sciences, in economic and in military
prowess. In the last century, Christian America has continued the
march of progress, joining and eclipsing Europe in all manner of
achievement.
In contrast, Islam
under the Ottomans, as under the Arabs before them, advanced largely
through conquest, plunder and often-brutal taxation of its subjects.
Half a millennium ago, the Islamic Ottoman Empire stagnated and then
steadily sank, its final collapse occurring during the First World
War, from which it never recovered.
The overwhelming
majority of adherents to Islam — 96% — today live in Third
World countries. Although some Muslim countries have oil wealth,
none have an advanced economy and few have the free-market culture
and rule of law needed to propel them to the ranks of successful
Christian nations. Neither does Islam have Christianity’s
near-universal appeal — to rich and poor, to men and women, to
literally all ethnic groups and all political ideologies. Unlike
Islam, Christianity is well represented throughout most of the world,
with roughly one-quarter of all Christians each in Europe, South
America, and Africa, and the final quarter split between North
America and Asia.
No region better
exemplifies Christianity’s success than Black Africa, which in
1900 was a predominantly animist continent with many more Muslims
than Christians. And no one better summarizes this success than
Ahmad al-Qataani, leader of the Companions Lighthouse for the Science
of Islamic Law in Libya, in a frank interview with Al Jazeera in
2006.
“Islam used to
represent … Africa’s main religion and there were 30 African
languages that used to be written in Arabic script. The
number of Muslims in Africa has diminished to 316 million, half of
whom are Arabs in North Africa. So in the section of
Africa that we are talking about, the non-Arab section, the number of
Muslims does not exceed 150 million people. When we realize that the
entire population of Africa is one billion people, we see that the
number of Muslims has diminished greatly from what it was in the
beginning of the last century.
“On the other hand,
the number of Catholics has increased from one million in
1902 to … 330 million in the year 2000.”
Al-Qataani attributes
Christianity’s success to the “Christian missionary octopus. …
As to how that happened, well there are now 1.5 million churches
whose congregations account for 46 million people. In every hour,
667 Muslims convert to Christianity. Every day, 16,000 Muslims
convert to Christianity. Every year, six million Muslims convert to
Christianity.”
Al-Qataani’s numbers
for conversions to Christianity differs starkly from those that are
reported to researchers at polling bodies such as Pew, which claims
Christianity has made no gains at all at the expense of Islam. But
there’s a ready explanation for what could be severe undercounting
of Christians and overcounting of Muslims by Pew — converts from
Islam face extreme penalties, even death, making many unlikely to
confide in pollsters. For different reasons, an undercounting of
conversions to Christianity is likely to also occur in China, where
Christians must worship surreptitiously to avoid the wrath of the
Communist Party. According to Pew, China has but 67 million
Christians. Estimates from other sources put the number at 100
million to 300 million.
Pew projects that
Islam, which it believes has been growing somewhat faster than
Christianity, will increase its share of the world’s population to
26.4% in 2030, up from a current 23.4%. But a different analysis
suggests Muslim women are becoming empowered at eye-popping rates,
leading to plummeting birth rates in the Muslim world.
In a paper last year
from the American Enterprise Institute, Fertility Decline in the
Muslim World: A Veritable Sea-Change, Still Curiously Unnoticed,
researchers Nicholas Eberstadt and Apoorva Shah discovered that over
the last generation, Muslim women have decided to have far fewer
babies — an average of 2.6 fewer babies each on average in the 48
Muslim countries and territories they studied. In Oman, the number of
births “plummeted by an astonishing 5.6 births per woman.” Looked
at another way, in 22 of the Muslim jurisdictions women had no more
than half as many children, Iranian women reduced their number of
babies by 70%. These findings, based on UNDP data to the year 2005,
now appear to understate the baby dearth among Muslims. More recent
government data indicates even further declines. In 2000, the UNDP
projected that Yemen in 2050 would have a population of 102 million.
It has now slashed that projection to 62 million; another official
agency projects but 48 million.
With rising affluence
and modernity, societies tend to produce fewer babies, we’ve long
been led to believe. But Muslim women don’t conform to the
conventional wisdom. As the researchers put it, Muslim women now have
“childbearing patterns comparable to those of contemporary
affluent Western non-Muslim populations [despite Muslims having]
substantially lower levels of income, education, urbanization, modern
contraception utilization, and the like than those that characterize
the more developed regions.” Their explanation, which jives with a
pathbreaking 1994 study, is that women (not socioeconomic factors)
decide how many babies they want. Through ways the researchers
don’t understand, Muslim women in this globalized age are
increasingly making choices for themselves, despite their reduced
access to contraceptives. And all else equal, the researchers
predict, Muslim women will in future have fewer children than
non-Muslims.
With Muslim birth
rates approaching those in the West, the prospects of Islam ever
overtaking Christianity recede. Those prospects diminish further
still because Christianity in the West continues to be strong — the
great majority continue to identify themselves as Christian, because
they hue to Christian values.
In the Parable of the
Talents, Jesus taught that those who invest their money will be
rewarded while those without initiative will be punished. In most
countries, most Christians believe in the prosperity gospel — that
God will grant wealth and good health to people of faith. Over the
last 2,000 years, their faith in Him has been repaid.
1. The smarter you are, the more likely you are to be a non believer
ReplyDelete2. this statement:
"...a rational case can be made in science as to the truth of the resurrection of Jesus ..."
is not even wrong
3. The first world is moving to unbelief and skepticism as fast or faster than the undeveloped world is moving to Christianity. Both movements are in the same direction towards rational thought and an evidence based existence, not blind faith in hieararcial whorship of pedophiles
Factotum posts the usual glurge of straw-man nonsense.
ReplyDeleteIt's actually impossible to do anything about this in a comment list, other than to tell somebody like this to stop being so inbred and go read people who are, presumably, at least as "smart" as Factotum, such as former atheist Anthony Flew, or director of the Human Genome Project Francis Collins.