Friday, July 27, 2018

Solutions without Historical Templates: Cryptocurrencies and Blockchains

Nice chart outlining the problem of centralization as template.  We are all aware of the problem.  Now can we apply the solution?  We seem to have at least started with money itself, not least because the banking industry has been slow to respond.

Now how does any of this apply to cars?  The car represents a chain of human activities and services that preserves the asset.  Title matters as well.

It is not immediately obvious that this is a solution.  What happens if we have a solution looking for a problem and it all turns out to not be important and is ultimately abandoned.  That is what happens to stock shares after all.

Solutions without Historical Templates: Cryptocurrencies and Blockchains

Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Crypto-blockchain technologies are leveraging the potential of computers and the web for direct political-social innovation.

We're accustomed to three basic templates for system-wide solutions or improvements:

1. an individual "builds a better mousetrap" and starts a company to exploit this competitive advantage;

2. a company invents something that spawns a new industry (the photocopier, the web browser, for example) and/or disrupts existing business models;

3. the central government decrees a strategy or investment, i.e. makes something happen (the Interstate Highway system in the 1950s, the space race to the moon in the 1960s, for example).

I don't think any of these templates really captures the eventual impact of cryptocurrencies and blockchains, which I define broadly as any decentralized, distributed ledger.

As for the better mousetrap-- the creators of bitcoin explicitly designed a form of money that they reckoned was superior to centrally controlled fiat currency. A decentralized form of money that isn't borrowed into existence like fiat currencies is certainly revolutionary, but that is only one aspect of the crypto-blockchain technology.

Since bitcoin and the blockchain technology behind it aren't owned by a corporation, the template of a company benefiting from disrupting existing business models (for example, Apple's iPod, iTunes and iPhone) doesn't fit.

It's certainly true that cryptos and blockchain are spawning a new industry, much like micro-processors and digital memory launched the computer revolution and the world wide web and its protocols launched the Internet revolution.

There are between 1,600 and 1,900 cryptocurrencies and tokens based on them, and hundreds of enterprises are developing applications for blockchain and related technologies.

The difference between these old templates and the crypto-blockchain technologies is these have explicit social and political applications and ramifications--consequences that cannot be mapped onto consumer product innovation or process innovations such as increasing computational power.

These technologies have the potential to re-order the structure and processes of governance and of social relations. In this way, crypto-blockchain technologies are leveraging the potential of computers and the web for direct political-social innovation.

Here's an example (described in an email to me from Decred's lead developer, Jake Yocom-Piatt) of a software platform that is not connected to a cryptocurrency that could be applied to the kinds of decentralized governance, community development, guaranteed paid work and markets that I describe in my CLIME system (community labor integrated money economy):

"The big idea with Politeia was to create a time-anchored filesystem with a minimal on-chain footprint, so you can be certain that the information in the filesystem existed on or before a particular date. Additionally, it includes identity data, so that person/entity X can attest to data Y at time Z in a way that cannot be altered after-the-fact. I felt that having a plain old website for our governance system wasn't sufficiently censorship resistant.

As I expect you can see, Politeia is an incredibly generic tool, and you can make use of it without holding any Decred."

This sort of distributed ledger--stripped of the computational weight of the blockchain-- could power community democracy, the distribution of a labor-backed currency (as I describe in my book A Radically Beneficial World) and render market transactions transparent to all participants.

These applications don't enrich a corporation--they re-order the power structure of the economy and society.

I don't think there are any historical templates that fully capture the potential for such a direct (i.e. not a byproduct or second-order effect) re-ordering of political and financial power.

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