Wednesday, February 4, 2015

The Costly, False, Futile Climate Crusade

 



 The promotion of global warming as a cause has pretty well run its course.  I wish there was some nice neat way to kill it off once and for all.  



Just think the argument goes.  All the CO2 produced this past century caused temperatures to start rising in the last two decades of the twentieth century so that we became half a degree warmer.  Then by obvious extension we were in trouble.  Except twenty years has now  passed and yes CO2 continues to rise while temperatures have not which is a pretty good proof of the total failure of the proposition.


That the proposition was a bad speculation in the first instance not supported by the weight of geological  evidence remains unremarked by most.


There are plenty of things mankind can do about the climate that is hugely good but no one wants to even know.




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The Costly, False, Futile Climate Crusade

By William Happer -- January 22, 2015



https://www.masterresource.org/debate-issues/costly-false-climate-crusade/


“Policies to ‘stop climate change’ are based on climate models that completely failed to predict the lack of warming for the past two decades. Observational data show clearly that the predictions of unacceptable warming by more carbon dioxide are wrong. Economic discount rates aside, policies designed to save the planet from more carbon dioxide are based on failed computer models.”


Has there ever been a movement in human history that did not present itself as an ethical cause?


Ghengis Khan supposedly informed his victims: ‘I am the punishment of God. If you had not committed great sins, God would not have sent a punishment like me upon you!’


In his new report for The Global Warming Policy Foundation (UK), Andrew Montford summarizes the unexpected outcomes of a modern cause, the jihad against atmospheric carbon dioxide.


Like its predecessors, this cause has generated plenty of sanctimonious slogans: ‘intergenerational justice’, ‘saving the planet’, ‘sustainability’, ‘negligible carbon footprints’. In reality, the cause has brought ugly, bird-killing windmills, which have replaced the psalmist’s ‘cattle on a thousand hills’; hapless native peoples have been expelled from their from ancestral lands, sometimes at gunpoint, so wealthy corporations and foundations could claim to be saving the planet, at no small profit to themselves; fraud in the trading of carbon credits has cheated honest taxpayers. But for this cause, as for most of its predecessors, the end justifies the means.


Policies to ‘stop climate change’ are based on climate models that completely failed to predict the lack of warming for the past two decades. Observational data show clearly that the predictions of unacceptable warming by more carbon dioxide are wrong. Economic discount rates aside, policies designed to save the planet from more carbon dioxide are based on failed computer models.


The desperate attempts to save the cause with one improbable excuse after another are reminiscent of the attempts, at the end of the eighteenth century, to save the phlogiston theory of combustion, as it reeled from one observational blow after another. In the process, real damage has been done to the reputation of science and to the scientific method. Data has been manipulated, honest scientific debate has been stifled, educational institutions have been turned into brain-washing centers for the cause, and trusting citizens have been misled by much of the mass media.


And what is the great danger that this noble cause purports to save us from? Human emissions of carbon dioxide, a transparent, odorless, non-toxic gas, essential for plant growth and contained at about 40,000 parts per million (ppm) in our own breaths. Carbon dioxide has been mercilessly demonized as ‘carbon pollution’, when in fact it is a benefit to the planet. Agricultural production has increased substantially and the Earth is greener today with the 400 ppm current levels of carbon dioxide than it was with preindustrial levels of about 280 ppm. And two or three times higher levels would be even better.


Over most of the Phanerozoic eon – the last 550 million years – carbon dioxide levels have averaged several thousand parts per million, and life flourished abundantly, on the land and in the seas. There is no observational support for the theoretically dubious claim that ‘more carbon dioxide will cause unacceptable global warming, or more extreme weather’.


For questions that are answered with equations in physics, there is an old saying, only half in jest: ‘getting the sign right is the hardest thing’. There is an ethical question connected with attempts to control carbon dioxide emissions.


And many people have gotten the wrong sign for the answer.

———–

William Happer is the Cyrus Fogg Brackett Professor of Physics at Princeton University. This post is a slightly revised version of his Foreword to Andrew Montford’s new study for the for The Global Warming Policy Foundation, “Unintended Consequences of Climate Change Policy.”

2 comments:

new illuminati said...

Arclein, it's embarrassing that someone so perspicatious should still be pushing this discredited barrow. You're doing Big Oil and Big Coal a huge favour.
Not only is the 'global cooling for the last two decades' proposition malarkey, you simply haven't been keeping abreast of the data since your opinions were first formed in the era when all the info was coming from sources dominated by oilyv oil men.
Everywhere but the US is suffering greater extremes and getting hotter. Fires are spreading like, well, wildfire.
Less obvious perhaps is the fact that we NOW know that most of the heating has - as one would expect - been occurring in the oceans, which are also becoming so acidic (DUE TO CO2) that the oceanic biosphere is under dire threat.
Please read the posts assembled @ http://nexusilluminati.blogspot.com/search/label/climate%20change - and see 'older posts' at the end of each section
These will give you a basis to reassess your position - and help the real activists trying to save their grandchildren.
Otherwise, thanks for your exemplary work.

arclein said...

How sweet. Let us ignore serious data manipulation and the simple flat lining of global temperatures since the original rise itself almost two decades ago. It got warmer and that was it. CO2 is a separate problem and all other attempts to measure things is doubtful and not helped by the warmest pushing obviously false issues.

Geology supports a far different perspective that rids us of this trick at looking at and playing with short range data. Start by explaining the end of the Ice Age properly.

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